The US dollar index fluctuated around 98.4 on Thursday, but remained within the previous session's strengthening zone. The market appeared cautious as investors began to position themselves ahead of the November US CPI release, which is expected to show price pressures remain above the Fed's target. Mixed US labor data earlier this week hasn't significantly changed the market outlook—investors still expect at least one interest rate cut in the future. Fed official Christopher Waller said there's still room to cut rates due to signs the labor market is softening, while Raphael Bostic was...
Japan's industrial production grew at the fastest clip in nearly a year, as manufacturers sought to meet strong demand before the US implements new tariffs on autos and auto parts. Factory output increased in February by 2.5% from January, the first advance in four months and marking the fastest gain since March last year, the Industry Ministry reported Monday. Economists had expected a 2.0% gain. Output rose 0.3% from a year ago, missing the consensus call of a 1.2% rise. The ministry also reported that retail sales increased 0.5% in February from...
The U.S. Federal Reserve's seemingly locked-in path to a soft landing, already roiled by the arrival of the Trump administration, may be growing even more complicated as evidence of consumer caution about spending starts to align with new inflation risks and another jump in inflation expectations. Consumer spending and inflation data for February accentuated the point, with spending near zero once adjusted for inflation and a key measure of inflation itself increasing. "No matter how you want to slice it, it's shaping up to be a very weak quarter for real spending, and it may end up being...
The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index increased by 0.3% month-over-month in February 2025, maintaining the same pace as the previous two months, and in line with expectations. Prices for goods rose 0.2%, below 0.5% in January and prices for services increased 0.4%, above 0.2% in the previous month. Meanwhile, the core PCE index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.4%, the most since January 2024, above 0.3% in the previous month and forecasts of 0.3%. Food prices steadied (vs 0.3% in January) while prices for energy goods and services were up...
Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin said Thursday the current level of monetary policy is in a "good place," in a further sign the central bank is leaning toward keeping rates steady at a time of rising tariff-induced uncertainty. "We are waiting for the fog to clear," Barkin said in prepared remarks for an economics lecture at Washington and Lee University. "With the labor market still solid and inflation still above target, our moderately restrictive stance is a good place to be." The Richmond Fed president did say, however, that if "conditions start to shift, we are well...
Initial jobless claims in the United States decreased by 1,000 to 224,000 in the week ending March 22, marginally below market expectations of 225,000, to remain at historically low levels. In the meantime, recurring claims fell by 25,000 in the second week of the month. The results continued to indicate that the US hosts a robust labor market despite the prolonged period of restrictive monetary policy and the pessimistic batch of soft data released during the first quarter of the year. In the meantime, unemployment claims filed under programs for Federal government employees, which have...
President Trump said he would impose a 25% tariff on global auto imports into the U.S., making good on his pledge to sanction foreign car and truck manufacturers. "What we're going to do is we're going to put a 25% tariff on all cars that are not made in the U.S.," Trump said Wednesday in the Oval Office, appearing to rule out possible exemptions for countries such as Canada and Mexico, which have free-trade agreements with the U.S. The U.S. will begin imposing auto tariffs on April 3, Trump said, a day after he announced a broader set of trade actions. The so-called reciprocal tariffs,...
Wednesday brought a stark warning from Senator Elizabeth Warren regarding the potential for President Donald Trump to dismiss Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. In an interview with Bloomberg News on Wednesday, the Massachusetts Democrat expressed concerns that Trump's broad interpretation of his authority to remove officials from independent agencies could lead to significant instability in the US markets. Warren highlighted the dangers of such actions, suggesting that if the president can remove civil servants and leaders of independent agencies at will, it would result in a...
President Donald Trump is preparing to announce new auto tariffs as early as Wednesday, escalating trade tensions ahead of a broader tariff rollout next week, according to a report from Bloomberg, citing people familiar with the matter. The details of the tariffs, including their scope and possible exemptions, remain unclear, said Bloomberg. The news caused midday volatility in large U.S. auto stocks, including GM, Ford, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), and Stellantis (NYSE:STLA). Bloomberg said it is also uncertain whether the tariffs will take effect immediately or be implemented over...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....