Oil prices rose slightly on Thursday (December 18th) as investors assessed the possibility of further US sanctions on Russia and the supply risks posed by the blockade of Venezuelan oil tankers. Brent crude rose 32 cents, or 0.54%, to $60 a barrel at 0910 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 38 cents, or 0.68%, to $56.32 a barrel. The US intention to impose more sanctions on Russia and the threat of a blockade of sanctioned tankers carrying Venezuelan oil pushed prices higher, said PVM analyst John Evans. On Wednesday, Bloomberg reported that the US was preparing another round of...
UK retail sales rose by 0.9% on a like-for-like basis in March 2025, outpacing market forecasts of a 0.5% increase. The boost was largely driven by unseasonably warm weather, which spurred spending on gardening, DIY, food, and health and beauty products. Mother's Day also contributed to the uplift, though the late timing of Easter this year somewhat distorted year-on-year comparisons. Food sales grew by 1.6% in March, while non-food sales saw a modest 0.6% increase. Helen Dickinson, Chief Executive of the British Retail Consortium, commented: "Despite a challenging global geopolitical...
No country should bypass international laws to authorise resource exploration in the seabed, China's foreign ministry said on Monday, following a report of U.S. plans to stockpile deep-sea metals to counter China's dominance in the sector. The Trump administration is drafting an executive order to enable stockpiling of deep-sea metals found on the Pacific Ocean seabed to counter China's dominance of battery minerals and rare earth supply chains, the Financial Times reported on Saturday, citing people familiar with the matter. The stockpile would "create large quantities ready and available...
Fed Governor Christopher Waller said the Trump administration's tariffs posed a significant shock to the US economy that might force the Fed to cut rates to avert a recession, though they could also be just a negotiating tactic with minimal lasting impact.New tariff policy one of the biggest shocks to affect US economy in decades.I believe higher inflation from tariffs will be temporary.If current 25% average tariff rate stays for some time, inflation could peak near 5%.In this large-tariff scenario, drag on output, employment could be longer-lasting; unemployment could rise to 5%.Under...
Consumer confidence in the US continued to deteriorate in April, with the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index dropping to 50.8 in the flash estimate from 57 in March. This reading came in worse than the market expectation of 54.5. The underlying details of the report showed that the Current Conditions Index fell to 56.5 from 63.8 in the same period, while the Consumers Expectations Index worsened to 47.2 from 52.6. The one-year inflation outlook component of the survey jumped to 6.7% from 5%, and the five-year inflation outlook edged higher to 4.4% from 4.1%. Source:...
Core producer prices in the United States, which exclude food and energy, declined by 0.1% from the previous month in March of 2025, contrasting sharply with market expectations of a 0.3% jump to reflect the first decline in eight months. From the previous year, core producer prices rose by 3.3%, the least in six months, from the 3.5% in February. Source: Trading Economics
The current US tariff rate will drag China's GDP growth lower by c.1.8ppt. Any further increases in tariffs are likely to have little impact on China's growth. Another CNY 1.5-2.0tn of fiscal support is needed, supported by moderately loose monetary policy, Standard Chartered's economists report. The perfect storm"Over the past week, the US and China have announced sweeping tariffs in multiple rounds of retaliation. As of now, China's tariff on US products has jumped to 142%, and the US' tariff on China has surged to 157%, according to our estimate. As bilateral tariffs are already...
Chinese President Xi Jinping will embark on a three-nation Southeast Asia tour next week in his first overseas trip this year to consolidate ties with some of China's closest neighbours as trade tensions with the United States escalate. Xi will visit Vietnam from April 14-15, and Malaysia and Cambodia from April 15-18, state-run Xinhua news agency reported on Friday. China, hit with 145% U.S. tariffs since President Donald Trump took office this year, is quickly moving to reinforce relations with other countries who also lie in the shadow of Washington's damaging trade levies. Some of the...
The annual core consumer price inflation rate in the United States, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, eased to 2.8% in March 2025, down from 3.1% in February and below the market expectation of 3%. This marked the lowest rate since March 2021, driven by slower price increases in shelter (4.0% vs. 4.2% in February), transportation services (3.1% vs. 6.0%), medical care commodities (1.0% vs. 2.3%), apparel (0.3% vs. 0.6%), and used cars and trucks (0.6% vs. 0.8%). On a monthly basis, core consumer prices rose by 0.1% in March, following a 0.2% increase in February and below...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....