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FEDERAL RESERVE

Sept rate-cut seen as done deal but four key factors could stand in the way

Friday, 29 August 2025 10:17 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

Markets are kicking around the idea of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, but Morgan Stanley isn’t sure, warning that the odds may be closer to 50-50 despite widespread expectations. Strong economic indicators including solid GDP growth, healthy financial conditions, and low volatility stand...

Fed’s Williams says interest rates can fall, but data will guide decision

Thursday, 28 August 2025 08:39 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams indicated on Wednesday that interest rates could decrease at some point, but emphasized that upcoming economic data will determine if a rate cut is appropriate at the September 16-17 meeting. "Every meeting is, from my perspective, live" for a...

Fed Governor Cook will sue Trump to keep her job, lawyer says

Wednesday, 27 August 2025 10:56 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook will file a lawsuit to prevent President Donald Trump from firing her, a lawyer for the embattled central bank official said on Tuesday, kicking off what could be a protracted legal fight over the White House’s effort to shape U.S. monetary policy. "His attempt...

Fed's Logan mulls over ending the Fed funds rate target range

Tuesday, 26 August 2025 11:42 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan mused about making key policy adjustments at the Fed on Monday, stressing the need for more effective policy communication.The US has more room to reduce reserves.Responding to banks' increased short-run demand for reserves is a recipe for...

Powell fires up markets, but some investors see reason for caution

Saturday, 23 August 2025 10:35 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

Investors cheered Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole address, which gave a green light to buy risky assets on the hope the central bank is ready to cut rates, but took his dovish message with a note of caution as they see a risk of stagflation ahead and worry markets are...

Rate cut bets fall sharply ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech

Friday, 22 August 2025 13:01 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

Bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September have dropped significantly over the past week, as markets prepare for Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. Last week, traders were pricing in a 99 percent chance of a 25 bps rate cut at the next Fed...

FOMC Minutes: Inflation Risks Outweigh Job Concerns

Thursday, 21 August 2025 10:29 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

The Fed held rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% for a fifth straight meeting, as expected, but two governors dissented in favor of a cut the first such dual dissent since 1993. Policymakers observed that, while fluctuations in net exports continue to influence the data, recent indicators point to a...

Fed Minutes noted almost all participants advocated for keeping the status quo

Thursday, 21 August 2025 07:54 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

According to the FOMC Minutes, the two Federal Reserve policymakers who disagreed with the central bank's decision to keep interest rates the same last month were not joined by other policymakers in calling for lower rates at that meeting. Key Quotes Almost all participants at the Fed’s July...

Fed’s Powell may defy rate cut bets at Jackson Hole as inflation fight isn’t over

Tuesday, 19 August 2025 10:46 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is set to speak at the annual central bank symposium this week amid growing bets that a rate cut is nearly guaranteed next month. But Powell may defy expectations, refusing to cave as the final battle against inflation looms large, Scotiabank (TSX:BNS)...

Fed Chair Powell to speak Aug 22 amid speculation on rate cuts, replacement

Friday, 15 August 2025 12:09 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will give a speech on the economic outlook and the Fed’s review of its policy framework next Friday at the Kansas City Fed’s annual central banking conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, the Fed said on Thursday. Powell’s speech comes as data showing some impact...

Traders see 99% chance of September rate cut

Thursday, 14 August 2025 11:22 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

Traders are now pricing in a 99% probability of a 25-bps interest rate cut at the September 17, 2025, Federal Reserve meeting, according to Investing.com’s Fed Rate Monitor Tool. This is up from yesterday’s probability of 91.4%. Further, traders now see a 1.4% probability of a 50-basis point cut...

Fed’s Musalem: There are risks now to both the inflation and jobs goals

Saturday, 9 August 2025 06:04 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

The Federal Reserve now faces risks to both its inflation and jobs goals, with policymakers needing to balance which seems the more serious threat in deciding whether it is appropriate to reduce interest rates, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday. Between tariffs pushing up...

Donald Trump taps CEA Chair Stephen Miran for seat on Fed board

Friday, 8 August 2025 11:23 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

United States (US) President Donald Trump announced on Thursday that he would be selecting Stephen Miran, the current Chair of the US Council of Economic Advisors, to replace recently resigned Federal Reserve (Fed) Board of Governors (BoG) member Adriana Kugler. Stephen Miran will be replacing...

Trump rules out Bessent for Fed chair

Wednesday, 6 August 2025 11:36 WIB | Fiscal & monetary

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday he had removed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent from consideration for an open seat on the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors, but said he would "very shortly" announce his choice. In an interview with CNBC, Trump said Fed Governor Adriana Kugler’s...

Fed expected to keep rates unchanged as it sifts through mixed economic data

Tuesday, 29 July 2025 06:51 WIB | Economy

The U.S. central bank, to President Donald Trump’s chagrin, will likely leave interest rates unchanged at a policy meeting this week, but that’s not to say there won’t be a vigorous debate, with one if not two Federal Reserve governors possibly casting a rare dissent in support of lower borrowing...

US Fed independence under threat, say economists, but no one expects a July rate cut

Thursday, 24 July 2025 02:07 WIB | Economy

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s independence is under threat from mounting political interference, according to a clear majority of economists polled by Reuters, although no one expects a July interest rate cut despite a recent divergence in views among policymakers. President Donald Trump has made it...

If Powell goes, does Fed trust go with him?

Wednesday, 23 July 2025 02:13 WIB | Economy

Foreign investors are increasingly uneasy about U.S. monetary policy after President Donald Trump’s public criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, according to Yardeni Research. Though Trump recently said it was “highly unlikely” he would fire Powell, Yardeni noted the president also...

Fed’s rate-cut delay intact as inflation fears override Trump pressure

Saturday, 19 July 2025 06:13 WIB | Economy

The case for a U.S. interest rate cut remains unresolved as Federal Reserve officials head into their policy meeting later this month, with data showing fresh signs of higher inflation and President Donald Trump intensifying his demands for lower borrowing costs. Trump appeared near the point of...

Powell responds to White House on Fed headquarters renovation

Friday, 18 July 2025 11:46 WIB | Economy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Thursday responded to a Trump administration official’s demands for information about cost overruns for a renovation project at the central bank’s Washington headquarters campus, saying the project was large in scope and involved a number of safety upgrades...

Trump says he’s not planning to fire Fed’s Powell

Thursday, 17 July 2025 06:36 WIB | Economy

U.S. President Donald Trump said Wednesday he is not planning to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, after a Bloomberg report that the president is likely to do so soon sparked a drop in stocks and the dollar, and a rise in Treasury yields. Such reports are not true, Trump said. "I don’t...

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