Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
President Donald Trump's plan to revive U.S. shipbuilding using massive fees on China-linked ship visits to American ports is causing U.S. coal inventories to swell and stoking uncertainty in the embattled agriculture market, as exporters struggle to find ships to send goods abroad. Trump is drafting an executive order that would rely on funding from a U.S. Trade Representative proposal to levy fines of up to $1.5 million on China-made ships or vessels from fleets that include ships made in China. Those potential port fees have limited the availability of ships needed to move agriculture,...
The White House said Tuesday that US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed to seek a limited ceasesire on energy and infrastructure targets for 30 days. "The leaders agreed that the movement to peace will begin with an energy and infrastructure ceasefire, as well as technical negotiations on implementation of a maritime ceasefire in the Black Sea, full ceasefire and permanent peace," according to a readout of President Donald J. Trump's call with President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday. "These negotiations will begin immediately in the Middle East," the White House...
Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney said it was important to strengthen ties with "reliable allies" in Europe, as he met British and French leaders on his first overseas visit amid tensions with the United States. Carney's decision to visit Paris and London instead of Washington, as is usual for Canadian leaders, comes after U.S. President Donald Trump escalated trade tensions with both Canada and Europe, and floated threats of annexing Canada. "(It) is more important than ever for Canada to strengthen its ties with reliable allies like France," Carney said, ahead of a working lunch with...
President Donald Trump's tariff hikes will drag down growth in Canada, Mexico and the United States while driving up inflation, the OECD forecast on Monday, cutting its global economic outlook and warning that a broader trade war would sap growth further. In the case of a generalised trade shock, not only will U.S. households pay a high direct price, but the likely economic slowdown will cost the United States more than the extra income the tariffs are supposed to generate, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development estimated in its interim outlook. Global growth is on...
Retail Sales in the United States (US) rose by 0.2% in February to $722.7 billion, the US Census Bureau announced on Monday. This reading followed the 1.2% decrease reported in January and came in worse than the market expectation for an increase 0.7%. On a yearly basis, Retail Sales were up 3.1%. Source: FXstreet
German carmaker BMW (ETR:BMWG) said on Friday it expected tariffs to cost it 1 billion euros ($1.09 billion) this year, while European officials warned the U.S. economy would be the biggest loser if President Donald Trump pursues an "idiotic" trade war. BMW is directly in the firing line of the trade spat between Washington and the European Union, set to escalate in early April as Trump imposes "reciprocal" tariffs to match higher duty rates of EU and other countries and counteract their non-tariff trade barriers. Trump has increased tariffs on U.S. steel and aluminium imports and imposed...
Bank of America has cut 16 bankers from its investment banking department in Hong Kong as part of global cuts to its dealmaking workforce, three sources with knowledge of the matter told Reuters on Friday. The reductions mainly targeted junior positions, said the sources, who asked not to be named as they were not authorised to speak to media. Most junior bankers were offered positions in other departments within Bank of America, one of the sources said, but it was unclear how many of them had accepted the proposal. Bank of America declined to comment. The U.S. lender is eliminating 150...
US President Donald Trump said Friday there was a "very good chance" that the war between Russia and Ukraine could end after "productive" discussions with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday. "We had a very good and productive discussion with President Vladimir Putin of Russia yesterday, and there is a very good chance that this terrible and bloody war can finally be over," Trump said in a Truth Social post, adding that he had asked Putin to spare the lives of Ukrainian troops who are "completely surrounded." US envoy Steve Witkoff had a lengthy meeting with Putin in Moscow on...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....