Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
U.S. consumer sentiment fell to its lowest level in more than two years and long-term inflation expectations jumped the most since 1993, reflecting growing concerns about the economic impact of tariffs. A preliminary March sentiment index fell to 57.9, the lowest level since November 2022, from 64.7 a month earlier, according to University of Michigan data released Friday. The reading was weaker than all estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists. Consumers expect prices to rise at an annual rate of 3.9% over the next five to 10 years, up 0.6 percentage point from the previous month and...
The recent data on tariffs and consumer decision-making is clear: raise prices on a product due to higher import taxes, and consumers will turn to a cheaper alternative. That doesn't bode well for certain U.S. products, and the states where they are produced, as the U.S. and EU engage in tit-for-tat tariff threats. Think California almonds, Tennessee whiskey, and rearview mirrors from Michigan. From 2017-2019, Tennessee whiskey exports to the European Union dropped from $362 million to $220 million amid President Donald Trump's first term trade war, and exports remained low until the...
After flubbing his planned doubling of tariffs on Canada, which saw Canada poised to lash back with stiff increases in the cost of energy exported from the province of Ontario to the US, US President Donald Trump is shifting his tariff focus to the European Union, but maintaining the same playbook. Donald Trump's brief standoff against Canada saw the US's neighbor to the north make zero concessions. Canada is now on pace to impose a strategic package of tariffs against key US goods in retaliation for the US's steel and import tariffs that went into effect this week, and trade terms under...
The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand in the US rose 3.2% on a yearly basis in February, the data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed on Thursday (13/3). This reading followed the 3.7% increase recorded in January and came in below the market expectation of 3.3%. The annual core PPI rose 3.4% in the same period, down from 3.8% in January. On a monthly basis, the PPI was unchanged, while the core PPI declined by 0.1%.(Newsmaker23) Sumber: FXstreet
The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to 220,000 in the week ended March 9, 2025. That's down from the Labor Department's estimate of 226,000 on Thursday. Source: Newsmaker23
US President Donald Trump said Thursday (3/13) that he would impose 200% wine tariffs on all wine and other alcoholic products originating from EU countries if the bloc does not remove its tariffs on whiskey. "The European Union, one of the most hostile and abusive tax and tariff authorities in the World, created for the sole purpose of taking advantage of the United States, has just imposed a nasty 50% Tariff on Whiskey," Trump wrote in a post on Truth Social. "If this Tariff is not removed immediately, the US will soon impose a 200% Tariff on all WINE, CHAMPAGNE, & ALCOHOLIC PRODUCTS...
During a public meeting with Ireland's Prime Minister, or Taoiseach, Micheál Martin, United States (US) President Donald Trump took the opportunity to deliver another hodge-podge of comments addressing his usual variety of topics that White House watchers have become increasingly familiar with. Without sharing any specific details, President Trump declared that the EU has been "tough" on the US in terms of trade, noting that Europeans tend to not buy very many US-produced food products or vehicles. Given the enormous costs of shipping both durable and non-durable goods between two...
Canada will impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. imported goods worth C$29.8 billion ($20 billion) effective on Thursday in response to U.S. President Donald Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs, Canada's Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc said. Trump's increased tariffs on steel and aluminum imports took effect on Wednesday as prior exemptions, duty-free quotas and product exclusions expired, and as his campaign to reorder global trade norms in favor of the U.S. gains momentum. Canada is the biggest foreign supplier of steel and aluminum to the United States. "We will not stand idly by while...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....