Tuesday, 21 October 2025
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Tuesday, 21 October 2025 10:39 WIB

The euro continued to decline against the US dollar for the third consecutive day, driven by a strengthening dollar amid hopes that the US government shutdown would soon end. Furthermore, market expectations of a possible trade deal between the US and China also boosted demand for the dollar as a safe haven asset. Meanwhile, investors in Europe are still awaiting guidance from European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde regarding the direction of future interest rate policy. The market is also monitoring the impact of the Russian gas import ban on inflation in the eurozone. Although...

RECENT NEWS
Gold Strengthens as Inflation Data Maintains Fed Rate Cut Speculation
Saturday, 27 September 2025 03:42 WIB | GOLD EMAS

Gold strengthened on Friday (September 26th) after US inflation data matched expectations, bolstering speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue interest rate cuts later this year. Spot gold rose 0.8% to $3,778.62 an ounce at 1:30 p.m. EDT (17:30 GMT), after hitting a record $3,790.82 earlier in the week. The precious metal has risen about 2.5% this week. US gold futures for December delivery closed 1% higher at $3,809. "Monthly PCE data was appropriate, although personal income and spending were only a tenth above expectations. None of this data will deter the Fed from continuing...

Oil prices rise as Russia cuts fuel exports
Friday, 26 September 2025 23:20 WIB | Minyak WTI brent oil

Oil prices rose on Friday (September 26), on track for a weekly gain of more than 4%, as Ukraine's attack on Russian energy infrastructure prompted Moscow to restrict fuel exports. Brent crude futures rose 89 cents, or 1.28%, to $70.31 a barrel at 9:46 a.m. CDT (14:46 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $1.16, or 1.79%, to $66.14 a barrel. "The market continues to focus on the situation between Russia and Ukraine," said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital. "These drone attacks by Ukraine are starting to have an impact." Both benchmark oil prices are expected to post...

GBP/USD edges higher as Greenback eases after US PCE and UoM sentiment data
Friday, 26 September 2025 22:41 WIB | GBP/USD

The British Pound (GBP) gains traction against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with GBP/USD snapping a two-day losing streak. At the time of writing, the pair is hovering near 1.3393, staging a modest recovery after dropping to its weakest level in about seven weeks on Thursday. Fresh momentum in Sterling came after the release of the August US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which broadly met market forecasts and offered no new hawkish cues for the Federal Reserve (Fed). The data kept the Greenback on the defensive, with the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the...

Gold edges higher toward $3,791 peak as US Dollar softens
Friday, 26 September 2025 22:30 WIB | GOLD

Gold (XAU/USD) extends gains on Friday, pushing past the recent $3,760-$3,720 range. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,780, hovering just below the all-time high of $3,791 set earlier this week, as the US Dollar (USD) corrects lower in the wake of the latest US economic data. The core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) preferred gauge of underlying inflation, rose 0.2% MoM, matching forecasts and down from July's originally reported 0.3%, which was revised lower to 0.2%. On an annual basis, the core measure held steady at 2.9%, underscoring that inflation is...

Oil set for biggest weekly gain in three months as Russia cuts fuel exports
Friday, 26 September 2025 19:18 WIB | brent oil

Oil prices were steady on Friday, on track for a more than 4% weekly gain, as Ukraine's attacks on Russia's energy infrastructure prompted Moscow to curb fuel exports. Brent futures lost 3 cents to $69.39 a barrel by 1146 GMT while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was down 6 cents at $64.92 a barrel. "The geopolitical risk premium, which has been steadily building over the last two months as Ukrainian drone strikes intensified, has now materialised into an actual supply shortage, much to the detriment of Europe, which is structurally short of distillates," said PVM analyst Tamas...

USD holds weekly gains
Friday, 26 September 2025 18:55 WIB | DOLLAR

The data helped boost USD-supportive spreads and pare expectations around Fed easing risks over the balance of the year. A dose of geo-political worries added some further support to the USD at the margin. The USD has steadied in overnight trade but, at this point, it is looking at a fairly solid gain on the week following last week's rejection of the low 96 area. A new round of hefty tariffs (pharma, heavy trucks, household goods) announced by the White House has failed to move markets materially." "European stocks are mostly firmer and while the pharma sector is underperforming, it is...

EUR/USD languishes near lows ahead of the US PCE Price Index release
Friday, 26 September 2025 18:48 WIB | EUROPE

EUR/USD is posting moderate gains on Friday, trading near 1.1675 at the time of writing on Friday from 1.1645 daily lows, but remains on track for a 0.55% weekly decline. In the United States (US), a batch of upbeat macroeconomic figures eased concerns about an economic downturn on Thursday, while in Europe, data have been uninspiring this week. To make matters worse, US President Donald Trump rattled markets with a new round of tariffs. Data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis revealed that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at a stronger pace than previously estimated in the second...

Dollar Strengthens, Silver Prices Drop Again
Friday, 26 September 2025 16:24 WIB | SILVER

Silver slipped below $45 per ounce on Friday, easing from 14-year highs as the dollar strengthened following upbeat US data that tempered bets for deeper Federal Reserve rate cuts. Thursday's reports showed weekly jobless claims fell to 218K, highlighting labor market resilience, while second-quarter GDP growth was revised sharply higher to an annualized 3.8%, the fastest in nearly two years. Markets still expect a quarter-point Fed cut in October, though easing priced in for the year has narrowed to 39 basis points from about 43 earlier this week. Despite the pullback, silver remains up...

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PRECIOUS METALS
Gold Rises Amid Macro Uncertainty, Other Tailwinds
Tuesday, 7 October 2025 07:10 WIB

Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...

ENERGY
Oil Drops as Larger OPEC+ Supply Increase Raises Glut Concerns
Monday, 7 July 2025 09:54 WIB

Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook. Brent...

CURRENCIES
Japanese Yen reverses part of Friday's gains against USD
Monday, 18 November 2024 10:28 WIB

The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....