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Thursday, 12 February 2026 19:28 WIB

Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...

RECENT NEWS
Gold consolidates below $4,350 amid firm US Dollar
Friday, 19 December 2025 23:44 WIB | GOLD

Gold (XAU/USD) Gold (XAU/USD) regains ground on Friday, edging modestly higher after earlier weakness, even as a resilient US Dollar (USD) caps upside momentum. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,345, recovering from a daily low near $4,309. The precious metal briefly surged toward record highs on Thursday after US inflation data undershot expectations. However, gains quickly faded as softer inflation lifted risk appetite across equity markets and pushed Gold back within the range established earlier this week. That said, the downside appears limited, as a dovish Federal...

Oil Prices Head for Second Weekly Drop as Oversupply Concerns Dominate
Friday, 19 December 2025 20:01 WIB | Minyak WTI brent oil

Oil prices are headed for a second weekly decline as concerns over a growing oversupply outweigh geopolitical risks to supply. Brent crude edged up to $60 a barrel on Friday but is still down about 2% for the week, while West Texas Intermediate is trading near $56 a barrel. Ukraine attacked an oil tanker linked to a shadowy Russian fleet in the Mediterranean Sea, a new escalation in a series of attacks on ships that help Moscow export oil. Despite these risks, nearly all of the world's largest traders see the market in oversupplied territory by early next year, with industrial giant...

Gold Prices Weakened On A Stronger Dollar, But Are Headed For A Weekly Gain
Friday, 19 December 2025 17:16 WIB | Minyak WTI brent oil

Gold prices fell slightly on Friday (December 19), pressured by a stronger dollar and year-end investor positioning, but are poised to end the week higher as weaker US inflation data raised speculation of an interest rate cut. Spot gold prices fell 0.1% to $4,326.29 an ounce at 09:35 GMT, but are expected to post a weekly gain of 0.6%, having returned to near the record high reached in October. US gold futures fell 0.2% to $4,354.80. Spot silver prices rose 0.7% to $65.90 an ounce, expected to end the week up 6% after hitting an all-time high of $66.88 on Wednesday. Silver has risen 128%...

Oil Prices Expected To Fall For A Second Straight Week Due To A Weak Supply Outlook
Friday, 19 December 2025 16:51 WIB | Minyak WTI brent oil

Oil prices fell on Friday (December 19th) and are expected to post a second straight weekly decline as potential oversupply and the prospect of a Russia-Ukraine peace deal outweigh concerns over disruptions caused by a Venezuelan oil tanker blockade. Brent crude futures fell 17 cents, or 0.28%, to $59.65 a barrel at 0915 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 31 cents, or 0.55%, to $55.84. On a weekly basis, Brent and WTI benchmarks fell 2.4% and 2.8%, respectively. Analysts widely project a global oil oversupply next year, driven by increased production from the...

Dollar Rises, But Is There a Limit?
Friday, 19 December 2025 14:56 WIB | DOLLAR

The US Dollar Index (DXY) continued its rise for the third consecutive session and hovered around 98.60 in European trading on Friday (December 19). Market participants are now awaiting the release of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for December, which could provide additional clues about the direction of the economy and the dollar's movement. Despite its strength, the dollar's upside is considered limited as markets increasingly consider the possibility of a Fed interest rate cut after US inflation fell below forecasts. Data showed that US CPI in November slowed to 2.7%...

Dollar Awaits Fed Direction
Friday, 19 December 2025 10:35 WIB | DOLLAR

The US dollar index fluctuated around 98.4 on Friday (December 19) and is expected to close the week relatively unchanged. Investors are still weighing the chances of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next year, as inflation continues to decline and signs of weakness in the US labor market emerge. The latest inflation data indicates price pressures are easing. The November CPI report showed headline inflation fell to 2.7%, the lowest since July and below market expectations. Core inflation also weakened to 2.6%, the slowest pace since early 2021. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate rose to...

Silver Continues to Strengthen, Tight Supply Pushes Prices Higher
Friday, 19 December 2025 07:55 WIB | SILVER

Silver continued to exhibit strong fundamentals on December 19, 2025, with prices continuing to approach or even break record highs due to strong global demand and relatively tight supply. Silver has strengthened sharply throughout 2025, far outperforming gold in price performance, due to numerous driving factors from both the industrial and investment sectors. Reuters One of the main reasons for the strong fundamentals is the ongoing structural deficit: global demand for silver—particularly from industrial sectors such as solar panels, electric vehicles, electronics, and other green...

Yen Falls Despite BOJ Rate Hike, What Happens Next?
Friday, 19 December 2025 07:43 WIB | Yen

The Japanese yen is the worst-performing major currency against the US dollar throughout 2025, despite the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raising interest rates. Even with further tightening measures, the yen could remain in the "danger zone" that could trigger government intervention. The BOJ is expected to raise interest rates by a quarter percentage point on Friday, bringing the policy rate to a three-decade high of 0.75%. Futures indicate the possibility of additional hikes of around 40 basis points next year, making the BOJ one of the most aggressive G10 central banks, alongside the Reserve Bank...

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PRECIOUS METALS
Gold Rises Amid Macro Uncertainty, Other Tailwinds
Tuesday, 7 October 2025 07:10 WIB

Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...

ENERGY
Oil Drops as Larger OPEC+ Supply Increase Raises Glut Concerns
Monday, 7 July 2025 09:54 WIB

Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook. Brent...

CURRENCIES
Japanese Yen reverses part of Friday's gains against USD
Monday, 18 November 2024 10:28 WIB

The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....