Tuesday, 21 October 2025
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Tuesday, 21 October 2025 10:39 WIB

The euro continued to decline against the US dollar for the third consecutive day, driven by a strengthening dollar amid hopes that the US government shutdown would soon end. Furthermore, market expectations of a possible trade deal between the US and China also boosted demand for the dollar as a safe haven asset. Meanwhile, investors in Europe are still awaiting guidance from European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde regarding the direction of future interest rate policy. The market is also monitoring the impact of the Russian gas import ban on inflation in the eurozone. Although...

RECENT NEWS
Dollar Plummets, Market Awaits Shutdown and Fed Policy
Wednesday, 1 October 2025 08:18 WIB | DOLLAR

The US dollar continued to weaken, approaching its lowest level in a week as uncertainty over a possible US government shutdown looms. If the US government does shut down, the release of key data, such as Friday's jobs report, could be delayed, heightening market caution. US President Donald Trump warned that a shutdown would force the government to take "irreversible" steps, including shutting down critical programs. Meanwhile, recent data showed the US labor market is starting to weaken, with a decline in the number of workers employed despite a slight increase in job openings. In the...

Gold Edges Higher Amid Ongoing U.S. Government Shutdown Risks
Wednesday, 1 October 2025 07:13 WIB | GOLD

Gold edges higher in the early morning Asian session. The U.S. federal government is on track to shut down, with Congress set to miss the deadline to fund federal agencies. Front-month Comex gold futures ended 16.59% higher in 3Q, a record quarterly net gain. The precious metal's strong performance has been fueled by risingdemand for safe-haven assets, Exness's Agustina Patti says in an email. Immediate focus has remained on Washington, where talks between President Trump and congressional leaders ended without agreement on extending government funding, the financial markets strategist...

Oil Steady After Two-Day Drop With OPEC+, Shutdown Risk in Focus
Wednesday, 1 October 2025 07:10 WIB | Oil,

Oil steadied after a two-day drop as OPEC+ may discuss fast-tracking its latest round of supply hikes when members gather this weekend. West Texas Intermediate traded near $62 a barrel, after falling more than 5% in the first two days of the week, while Brent closed above $66. The alliance is slated to discuss potentially lifting output in three monthly installments of 500,000 barrels a day to recoup market share, a delegate said. Still, OPEC said in a statement that it didn't have such a plan. In wider markets, traders were counting down to a possible US government...

EUR/USD steadies as shutdown fears weigh on Dollar
Wednesday, 1 October 2025 06:24 WIB | EUROPE

EUR/USD holds firm on Tuesday during the North American session, although the Dollar weakens due to fears of a possible government shutdown that could disrupt the release of crucial jobs data for Fed officials. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1735 up a modest 0.05%. Pair holds above 1.1730 despite mixed US data and cautious Fed rhetoricThe financial markets narrative remains focused on the US government being able to doge a shutdown that will begin in October 1. Recently, a US Democratic bill to avoid the shutdown, failed to garner sufficient votes to pass in Senate as the...

GBP/USD finds uneasy gains ahead of US government shutdown
Wednesday, 1 October 2025 06:10 WIB | London,

GBP/USD caught a slight lift on Tuesday, creeping into the 1.3450 region and tilting into a third straight bullish session. United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth figures beat expectations, bolstering the Pound Sterling (GBP), while US Dollar (USD) flows hunkered in place as investors brace for the US government's latest funding crisis shutdown. UK GDP accelerated to 1.4% YoY in Q2, rising above the expected hold at 1.2%. GBP flows tilted bullish afterward, but FX market flows have broadly drawn down ahead of the US government shutdown, which was confirmed after Congress...

Dollar falters as US govt shutdown risk intensifies
Wednesday, 1 October 2025 04:55 WIB | DOLLAR

The dollar fell on Tuesday following softer-than-expected economic data, as investors awaited a likely U.S. government shutdown that could disrupt the release of the monthly nonfarm payrolls report this week. Government funding expires at midnight on Tuesday (0400 GMT) unless Republicans and Democrats agree to a last-minute interim deal. "The shutdown is pretty much well-priced in by the market," said Eugene Epstein, head of trading and structured products, North America, at Moneycorp in New Jersey. "The question is how long the shutdown is going to be - if it's a few days as the market...

USD/JPY slides as US shutdown fears boost Yen's safe-haven appeal
Wednesday, 1 October 2025 04:47 WIB | USD/JPY,

The Japanese Yen (JPY) gains traction against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with USD/JPY extending losses for a third straight day as the looming United States (US) government shutdown weighs on the Greenback and bolsters safe-haven demand for the Yen. At the time of writing, the pair is trading near 147.85, down nearly 0.5% on the day. Investors largely shrugged off Japan's weak economic activity data released earlier in the day, instead turning their attention to the political gridlock in Washington. US President Donald Trump, speaking at the White House on Tuesday, warned that "we'll...

Gold advances as shutdown looms, weak US data fuels rate cut bets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025 03:42 WIB | GOLD

Gold climbs during the North American session on Tuesday yet remains below the record high hit in the Asian session of $3,871. Amid fears of a US government shutdown, jobs data reaffirmed expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). XAU/USD trades at $3,846, up 0.35%. Bullion steadies as US Dollar weakness underpins safe-haven demandThe latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) revealed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that US vacancies increased slightly but exceeded estimates. Meanwhile, the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence showed that Americans...

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PRECIOUS METALS
Gold Rises Amid Macro Uncertainty, Other Tailwinds
Tuesday, 7 October 2025 07:10 WIB

Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...

ENERGY
Oil Drops as Larger OPEC+ Supply Increase Raises Glut Concerns
Monday, 7 July 2025 09:54 WIB

Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook. Brent...

CURRENCIES
Japanese Yen reverses part of Friday's gains against USD
Monday, 18 November 2024 10:28 WIB

The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....