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Thursday, 12 February 2026 19:28 WIB

Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...

RECENT NEWS
USD/CHF Weakens, US Dollar Leads
Tuesday, 16 December 2025 10:51 WIB | SwissFranc

The USD/CHF currency pair fell on December 16, 2025, amid continued US dollar weakness in global markets. The dollar briefly approached a two-month low as investors awaited key economic data from the US, including the pending employment report, as well as more dovish or moderate policy signals from the Federal Reserve. This pressure on the dollar strengthened the Swiss franc relative to the USD, causing USD/CHF to fall below the psychological level of around 0.80. Furthermore, the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) decision to maintain interest rates at 0% without major changes also supported the...

Dollar Weakens Ahead of Delayed US Jobs Data, Yen Gains More Strength
Tuesday, 16 December 2025 08:03 WIB | DOLLAR

The US dollar weakened early in the Asian session on Tuesday, falling to a near two-month low as markets awaited the release of a slew of economic data—particularly the delayed US November jobs report. The dollar index fell 0.2% to 98.261, near its lowest level since October 17, while October-November jobs data was only recently released after being delayed during the US government shutdown. HSBC analysts said this data is crucial for "closing the story" about labor conditions during the shutdown. The market is also still assessing the direction of the Fed's interest rate: Fed funds...

Silver Surges Amid Deficit and Industrial Demand
Tuesday, 16 December 2025 07:37 WIB | SILVER

Silver prices remained high on December 16, 2025, despite a slight correction in global markets after last week's significant surge. Spot silver fell by around 2-3% from its record high above US$64 per ounce due to profit-taking, but overall, the metal remained near its all-time high. This decline occurred amidst a weakening US dollar, which had previously boosted precious metal prices, and volatile trading conditions. Fundamentally, silver continues to be driven by a structural imbalance between demand and supply. Global industrial demand—particularly for clean technologies like solar...

The Yen Is Kicking Back - Could USD/JPY Break 155?
Tuesday, 16 December 2025 07:18 WIB | Yen

The USD/JPY pair weakened to around 155.10 at the start of the Asian session on Tuesday. The yen strengthened slowly as markets became increasingly confident that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) would raise interest rates at its policy meeting on Friday, increasing pressure on the dollar. Market bets on a BoJ interest rate hike are growing. Reuters reports that the BoJ is likely to remain committed to continuing to raise interest rates, but the pace will depend on the Japanese economy's response. In a Reuters survey (December 2–9), 90% of economists predicted the BoJ would raise the short-term...

OPEC+ Increases Production, Will Oil Fall Further?
Tuesday, 16 December 2025 07:05 WIB | Oil,

Oil prices remain near their lowest levels since 2021, as traders assess the impact of a potential ceasefire in Ukraine. If the war subsides, the path could open to easing restrictions on Russian oil imports—even though the global market is already oversupplied. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is trading around $57 per barrel after closing at a more than four-year low on Monday. Brent crude also weakened, closing below $61. US President Donald Trump said a deal to end the Russia-Ukraine war is "closer than ever" after talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and European...

Could Tonight's US Jobs Data Make Gold "Explode"?
Tuesday, 16 December 2025 06:58 WIB | GOLD

Gold prices tended to be stable at the start of the Asian session, as market participants held their breath awaiting the November US employment report (Nonfarm Payrolls), which will be released today. For now, the spot gold price is barely changing at around $4,306.60 per ounce. According to Fawad Razaqzada, a market analyst at FOREX.com, the market is currently expecting only around 50,000 new jobs. At the same time, the unemployment rate is predicted to rise to 4.5%, which could signal a slowing US economy. If the results are weaker than expected (a downside surprise), the market could...

Brent Oil and WTI Oil Affected by Geopolitical Impact and Supply Factors.
Tuesday, 16 December 2025 05:24 WIB | Minyak WTI brent oil

Brent crude oil futures hovered around $61.1 per barrel on Monday, near the lowest level in almost two months amid persistent concerns about oversupply, while investors monitor developments surrounding a new round of Ukraine peace negotiations. President Volodymyr Zelensky met with US President Donald Trump's top envoys on Sunday for two days of talks aimed at ending the war with Russia. Despite the diplomatic efforts, fighting continues, with Ukrainian drone strikes targeting oil depots and refineries across several Russian regions, keeping Russian supply at risk. Supporting prices, the...

Gold's Rise Halts in US Session
Monday, 15 December 2025 23:41 WIB | GOLD

Gold did rise on Monday, driven by a weaker US dollar and falling US bond yields, plus demand for safe haven assets ahead of a key data week. But entering the US session, gold began to lose momentum and retreat from its intraday peak, as evidenced by XAU/USD falling back below $4,350 after briefly testing that level (although still holding above $4,300). The main reasons are usually simple: profit-taking (the price has risen sharply, near resistance), plus the market starting to "tidy up" as all eyes await US jobs (NFP) and inflation data, which will signal the direction of interest...

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PRECIOUS METALS
Gold Rises Amid Macro Uncertainty, Other Tailwinds
Tuesday, 7 October 2025 07:10 WIB

Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...

ENERGY
Oil Drops as Larger OPEC+ Supply Increase Raises Glut Concerns
Monday, 7 July 2025 09:54 WIB

Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook. Brent...

CURRENCIES
Japanese Yen reverses part of Friday's gains against USD
Monday, 18 November 2024 10:28 WIB

The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....