Thursday, 11 September 2025
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Thursday, 11 September 2025 08:06 WIB

Gold held steady just below its record, around $3,645/oz, after an unexpected decline in US producer prices (PPI) fueled hopes of Fed policy easing. The market now awaits the release of US CPI data Thursday evening (WIB) for confirmation of the next direction. Current market expectations price a 25 bps price cut at the Fed's September 16-17 meeting as the main scenario, with a larger cut seen as less likely. Gold's sensitivity is high: cooler inflation data typically weakens the dollar/yields and supports bullion prices. Performance-wise, gold has gained ~38–39% through 2025, driven by...

RECENT NEWS
Oil prices fall as tariff deadline looms
Tuesday, 22 July 2025 17:59 WIB | Brent

Oil prices declined for a third consecutive session on Tuesday on concerns the brewing trade war between major crude consumers the United States and the European Union will curb fuel demand growth by reducing economic activity. Brent crude futures were down 49 cents, or 0.7%, to $68.72 a barrel at 0915 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $66.60 a barrel, down 60 cents, or 0.9%. The August WTI contract expires on Tuesday and the more active September contract was down 47 cents, or 0.7%, to $65.48 a barrel. "Oil prices fell for a third straight session ... as urgency builds in...

Gold price falls below $3,400 despite increased risk aversion
Tuesday, 22 July 2025 15:42 WIB | GOLD

Gold price (XAU/USD) edges lower on Tuesday after two days of gains. However, the price of the safe-haven metal may appreciate due to prevailing uncertainty ahead of US President Donald Trump's August 1 tariff deadline. Additionally, market sentiment deepens due to increasing worries about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) independence. Traders keep their eyes on the trade negotiations between the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) this week, expecting to finalize a trade deal before the August 1 deadline, when Trump has threatened to hit the bloc's exports with 30% tariffs. The EU is...

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD ticks down to near $38.80, stays close to multi-decadal highs
Tuesday, 22 July 2025 13:01 WIB | SILVER

Silver price (XAG/USD) edges lower to near $38.80 during the early European session on Tuesday. Still, the white metal is close to its decadal high around $39.00. The outlook of the white metal remains bullish on upbeat demand for safe-haven assets as concerns over global trade flow continue to persist. Escalating trade tensions between the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) have raised trade tensions across the globe, given the scale of business between both economies. EU officials are preparing for countermeasures to offset the impact of additional tariffs imposed by the US,...

Gold at over one-month high as weak dollar, bond yields lift appeal
Tuesday, 22 July 2025 12:54 WIB | GOLD

Gold prices climbed on Tuesday to their highest level in more than a month, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields, as investors looked for progress in trade talks ahead of an August 1 deadline. Spot gold was little changed at $3,389.98 per ounce, as of 0503 GMT. Earlier in the session, bullion hit its highest level since June 17. U.S. gold futures held their ground at $3,402.90. "Gold's move on the upside has been pretty much supported by positive technicals and as well as reinforced by a broad base of dollar weakness," OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong...

US-EU Tensions Drag Oil Prices Down
Tuesday, 22 July 2025 11:08 WIB | brent oil Oil,

Oil prices fell sharply on Tuesday morning as concerns about a trade war between the United States and the European Union resurfaced, fueling fears of a decline in fuel demand. These tensions weighed on market sentiment, fearing they would hamper global economic activity. Brent crude fell 0.75% to $68.69 per barrel, while US WTI fell 0.76% to $66.69 per barrel. The August WTI contract expires today, while the more active September contract fell 0.82% to $65.41. Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova, said that demand concerns continue to mount as the market awaits a...

EUR/USD holds onto gains near 1.1700 amid US-EU trade tensions
Tuesday, 22 July 2025 10:26 WIB | EuroDolar

The EUR/USD pair clings to gains made on Monday around 1.1700 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday. The major currency pair strengthens as the US Dollar (USD) corrects sharply, following a fresh escalation in trade tensions between the United States (US) and the European Union (EU). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback's value against six major currencies, trades flat around 97.88 on Tuesday. The DXY has corrected from its almost a month high of 99.00 in the last two trading days. Trade tensions between giant economies escalated after a report from the Wall Street...

US Dollar Index holds steady near 98.00 due to market caution
Tuesday, 22 July 2025 10:07 WIB | DOLLAR

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is holding ground after losing more than 0.50% in the previous session and trading at around 97.90 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. Market caution deepened amid rising uncertainty over impending tariffs and increasing worries about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) independence. US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick stated unequivocally in a televised interview, "That's a hard deadline, so on August 1, the new tariff rates will come in. Nothing stops countries from talking to us after August...

Gold Hovers Near 5-Week High
Tuesday, 22 July 2025 10:02 WIB | GOLD

Gold prices edged down to around $3,380 on Tuesday but remained close to a five-week high reached in the previous session, amid lingering uncertainty ahead of President Donald Trump's August 1 tariff deadline. Attention is now on the EU-US trade negotiations this week, as they seek to clinch a trade deal before the deadline, when Trump has threatened to hit most of the bloc's exports with 30% tariffs. Meanwhile, the bloc is preparing a broader set of possible countermeasures against the US in a scenario where there is no agreement. On the monetary policy front, the European Central Bank is...

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PRECIOUS METALS
Gold extends losses as US Dollar, yields rise
Wednesday, 9 July 2025 19:04 WIB

Gold (XAU/USD) is extending its decline on Wednesday for a second consecutive day as the US Dollar (USD) and US Treasury yields firm ahead of the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)...

ENERGY
Oil Drops as Larger OPEC+ Supply Increase Raises Glut Concerns
Monday, 7 July 2025 09:54 WIB

Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook. Brent...

CURRENCIES
Japanese Yen reverses part of Friday's gains against USD
Monday, 18 November 2024 10:28 WIB

The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....