Gold prices briefly caused a stir after hitting a new record, but then slowed. The main trigger: US President Donald Trump withheld the threat of tariffs on Europe and claimed there was a "framework" for a future agreement on Greenland. This calmer tone made the market a little more willing to take risks, thus easing the pressure to buy gold as a safe haven. However, the big picture hasn't changed: gold remains in high territory because the world remains filled with uncertainty. Trade wars could resurface at any time, geopolitical tensions haven't completely subsided, and investors are...
The US dollar index held steady around 99.5 on Tuesday (November 18), halting the moderate gains recorded over the previous two sessions, as traders remained cautious and refrained from taking large positions ahead of key economic data releases. The latest data from the US Department of Labor showed initial jobless claims at 232,000 for the week ending October 18, while continuing claims reached 1.957 million, the highest level since August. The US statistical agency has begun releasing data delayed by the government shutdown, with the employment report scheduled for Thursday. Investors...
Gold prices fell to their lowest in more than a week on Tuesday (November 18th) as fading bets on a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month weighed on demand ahead of the release of delayed US economic data this week. Spot gold fell 0.3% to $4,033.29 an ounce, as of 09:09 GMT, after earlier hitting its lowest level since November 10. US gold futures for December delivery fell 1% to $4,032.60 an ounce. "Market participants are expecting a US rate cut following more aggressive comments from Fed officials," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo. "I expect gold prices to bottom soon, as I...
Silver fell below the $50 per ounce threshold, pressured by a stronger US dollar and fading expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month. Traders are now focusing on a series of key US data releases following the end of the country's longest government shutdown, including the September employment report on Thursday, for clearer insight into labor market conditions. The market is pricing in a roughly 40% chance of another Fed rate cut in December, down sharply from nearly 100% immediately after the September decision, amid a lack of recent government data and growing...
The Japanese yen briefly touched its lowest level since early February before recovering slightly in Tuesday morning's Asian trading session. This slight recovery occurred without strong buying momentum, but was helped by comments from Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama, who signaled intervention to curb the yen's weakening. Furthermore, the risk-off market sentiment has restored support for the yen as a safe haven asset. Meanwhile, weakening demand for the US dollar has pushed the USD/JPY pair back below 155.00. On the domestic policy front, market vigilance has been renewed...
Gold held a three-day drop, hurt by fading expectations for another US interest-rate reduction next month. Bullion traded near $4,020 an ounce, after losing almost 4% over the prior three sessions. With investors awaiting a backlog of data after the recent US government shutdown, several Federal Reserve officials have cautioned against another cut, although Governor Christopher Waller came out in favor. Interest-rate swaps now imply a less-than-50% likelihood of a December cut after all but pricing in a quarter-point reduction less than a month ago. The shift in...
Gold steadied, after three days of losses underpinned by fading expectations of a US interest rate cut next month. Bullion was holding above $4,000 an ounce on Tuesday. With traders and policymakers still awaiting a backlog of data after the longest US government shutdown in history, several Federal Reserve officials have cautioned against another reduction in the cost of borrowing. Interest-rate swaps now imply a less-than-50% likelihood of a December rate cut after all but pricing in a quarter-point reduction less than a month ago. Lower interest rates typically make non-yielding bullion...
Oil steadied as investors weighed the impact from an emerging surplus against US sanctions on Russia that have upended some crude flows. West Texas Intermediate traded below $60 a barrel after a modest loss in the previous session. Brent closed near $64. The price of Russia's flagship crude has plunged to the lowest level in more than two years, just days before US sanctions hit major producers Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC. Oil futures are down this year as expectations for a global glut weigh on the outlook, with the International Energy Agency forecasting a record...
Oil prices are expected to decline through 2026, Goldman Sachs said on Monday, citing a production surge that will keep the market in a large surplus of around 2 million barrels per day. The bank forecast Brent crude will average $56 a barrel and WTI $52 in 2026, below current forward curves of $63 and $60. "The 2025-2026 supply wave mostly results from long-cycle projects that saw Final Investment Decisions (FIDs) just before the pandemic, got delayed during Covid, and are now all coming online and from OPEC's strategic decision to unwind production cuts," the bank noted. OPEC+, or the...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....