Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
The Japanese yen held its recent advance to around 156 per dollar on Wednesday, hovering at one-week highs and benefiting mainly from dollar weakness as traders ramped up bets on a US Federal Reserve rate cut in December. Those expectations grew after the latest US data pointed to softening consumer spending, while reports suggested that a dovish candidate is being considered for the next Fed chair. The yen also found support amid rising speculation that Japanese authorities could intervene in currency markets, with the US Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday creating a potential window for...
The dollar index held below 100 on Wednesday, continuing its decline from the previous session. Pressure stemmed from weak US economic data, reinforcing market confidence that the Fed will cut interest rates at its December meeting. Data showed that US retail sales rose less than expected in September, while consumer confidence fell sharply in November. This indicates that consumer spending is beginning to slow after months of strong demand. Currently, market participants estimate an 84% chance of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut next month, up sharply from around 50% a week earlier. This...
Gold prices were stable in Tuesday-Wednesday morning trading, with bullion trading around US$4,135 per troy ounce. Market participants were weighing two key sentiments: hopes for a US interest rate cut and the possibility of a peace agreement in Ukraine. Delayed US economic data supported speculation that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates at its next meeting, after retail sales rose only slightly in September and consumer confidence recorded its deepest decline since April.The prospect of a lower interest rate environment was also reinforced by reports that Kevin Hassett, Director...
World oil prices held steady near their lowest levels in a month on Wednesday morning, after being pressured by positive developments in the Ukraine-Russia peace talks. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) held around US$58 per barrel after falling 1.5% on Tuesday, while Brent was just above US$62 per barrel. Market concerns persist that if a peace deal is reached, restrictions on Russian oil could be eased just as the global market is already facing the risk of oversupply. US President Donald Trump stated that only "a few points of difference" remain in the negotiations and that he has sent back...
Oil fell as signs of progress in peace talks between Ukraine and Russia buoyed expectations that Moscow's supply will stay online. West Texas Intermediate futures fell 1.5% to settle near $58 a barrel, the lowest in a month, as talks to end the war in Ukraine show signs of progress. Crude had dropped sharply earlier in the session after ABC News reported Kyiv agreed to the terms of a revised peace deal aimed at ending Russia's nearly four-year war. Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said talks on a peace plan are continuing with the US. There are...
Gold prices edged higher on Tuesday (November 25) as weaker-than-expected US retail sales data reinforced traders' expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December. Spot gold rose 0.3% to $4,150.09 an ounce at 12:16 p.m. EST (1716 GMT). Gold prices earlier in the day hit their highest level since November 14, and rose nearly 2% on Monday after several US central bank policymakers signaled support for a third rate cut this year at their December 9-10 meeting. US gold futures for December delivery rose 1.3% to $4,147 an ounce. "There were renewed expectations for a...
Oil prices fell sharply and the broader market plunged, with signs of progress in peace talks between Ukraine and Russia bolstering expectations that Moscow's supplies would remain available. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell as much as 2.6% in New York as equities weakened, led by a decline in major technology stocks. The commodity fell earlier after ABC News reported that Kyiv had agreed to the terms of a revised peace deal aimed at ending Russia's nearly four-year war in the country. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said negotiations on a peace plan with the US were...
Gold prices were relatively stable on Tuesday (November 25th), as weaker-than-expected US retail sales data reinforced traders' expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December. Gold edged down 0.2% to $4,130.85 an ounce at 9:36 a.m. ET (14:36 GMT). Gold prices earlier in the day hit their highest level since November 14th, and rose nearly 2% on Monday after several Fed policymakers signaled support for a third rate cut this year. US gold futures for December delivery rose 0.8% to $4,127.40 an ounce. "There were renewed expectations for a December rate cut based...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....