Gold prices briefly caused a stir after hitting a new record, but then slowed. The main trigger: US President Donald Trump withheld the threat of tariffs on Europe and claimed there was a "framework" for a future agreement on Greenland. This calmer tone made the market a little more willing to take risks, thus easing the pressure to buy gold as a safe haven. However, the big picture hasn't changed: gold remains in high territory because the world remains filled with uncertainty. Trade wars could resurface at any time, geopolitical tensions haven't completely subsided, and investors are...
Silver prices (XAG/USD) continued their three-day rally, approaching US$52.00 per troy ounce during Wednesday's Asian session. This strengthening occurred as US bond yields weakened, with the 10-year US Treasury yield holding around 4.00% after falling around 3.4% over the week. Lower yields make non-yielding assets like silver attractive again to investors. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 bps to a range of 3.50%-3.75% at its December meeting jumped to around 85.3%, from just 50.1% the previous week. These dovish expectations were...
The Australian dollar strengthened to around US$0.65 on Wednesday, hitting a one-week high. This strengthening occurred after higher-than-expected inflation data came out, further convincing the market that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will remain hawkish and not ready to ease interest rates anytime soon. The first full monthly inflation data showed that price pressures remain high. Headline inflation rose to 3.8% in October, the fastest pace in seven months and above market expectations. More importantly, trimmed mean inflation—the RBA's favorite measure of underlying price...
The Japanese yen held its recent advance to around 156 per dollar on Wednesday, hovering at one-week highs and benefiting mainly from dollar weakness as traders ramped up bets on a US Federal Reserve rate cut in December. Those expectations grew after the latest US data pointed to softening consumer spending, while reports suggested that a dovish candidate is being considered for the next Fed chair. The yen also found support amid rising speculation that Japanese authorities could intervene in currency markets, with the US Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday creating a potential window for...
The dollar index held below 100 on Wednesday, continuing its decline from the previous session. Pressure stemmed from weak US economic data, reinforcing market confidence that the Fed will cut interest rates at its December meeting. Data showed that US retail sales rose less than expected in September, while consumer confidence fell sharply in November. This indicates that consumer spending is beginning to slow after months of strong demand. Currently, market participants estimate an 84% chance of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut next month, up sharply from around 50% a week earlier. This...
Gold prices were stable in Tuesday-Wednesday morning trading, with bullion trading around US$4,135 per troy ounce. Market participants were weighing two key sentiments: hopes for a US interest rate cut and the possibility of a peace agreement in Ukraine. Delayed US economic data supported speculation that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates at its next meeting, after retail sales rose only slightly in September and consumer confidence recorded its deepest decline since April.The prospect of a lower interest rate environment was also reinforced by reports that Kevin Hassett, Director...
World oil prices held steady near their lowest levels in a month on Wednesday morning, after being pressured by positive developments in the Ukraine-Russia peace talks. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) held around US$58 per barrel after falling 1.5% on Tuesday, while Brent was just above US$62 per barrel. Market concerns persist that if a peace deal is reached, restrictions on Russian oil could be eased just as the global market is already facing the risk of oversupply. US President Donald Trump stated that only "a few points of difference" remain in the negotiations and that he has sent back...
Oil fell as signs of progress in peace talks between Ukraine and Russia buoyed expectations that Moscow's supply will stay online. West Texas Intermediate futures fell 1.5% to settle near $58 a barrel, the lowest in a month, as talks to end the war in Ukraine show signs of progress. Crude had dropped sharply earlier in the session after ABC News reported Kyiv agreed to the terms of a revised peace deal aimed at ending Russia's nearly four-year war. Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said talks on a peace plan are continuing with the US. There are...
Gold prices edged higher on Tuesday (November 25) as weaker-than-expected US retail sales data reinforced traders' expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December. Spot gold rose 0.3% to $4,150.09 an ounce at 12:16 p.m. EST (1716 GMT). Gold prices earlier in the day hit their highest level since November 14, and rose nearly 2% on Monday after several US central bank policymakers signaled support for a third rate cut this year at their December 9-10 meeting. US gold futures for December delivery rose 1.3% to $4,147 an ounce. "There were renewed expectations for a...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....