Tuesday, 16 December 2025
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Monday, 15 December 2025 23:41 WIB

Gold did rise on Monday, driven by a weaker US dollar and falling US bond yields, plus demand for safe haven assets ahead of a key data week. But entering the US session, gold began to lose momentum and retreat from its intraday peak, as evidenced by XAU/USD falling back below $4,350 after briefly testing that level (although still holding above $4,300). The main reasons are usually simple: profit-taking (the price has risen sharply, near resistance), plus the market starting to "tidy up" as all eyes await US jobs (NFP) and inflation data, which will signal the direction of interest...

RECENT NEWS
US Initial Claims Fall Tie For Lowest in 9 Months
Wednesday, 26 November 2025 20:40 WIB | Amerika

Initial jobless claims in the US fell by 6,000 from the previous week to 216,000 on the period ending November 22nd, a third consecutive drop to tie the lowest level since February, and below market expectations of an increase to 225,000. In the meantime, continuing claims tose by 7,000 from the downwardly revised value in the first week of November. The results continued to reflect a low magnitude of new unemployment claims in the US economy, although elevated levels of outstanding insurance suggest a slowdown in hiring. Initial claims filed by former employees of the Federal government...

US Budget Deficit Hits $284 Billion In October; Report Impacted By Government Shutdown
Wednesday, 26 November 2025 03:57 WIB | ECONOMIC

The US government posted a higher deficit of $284 billion for October in a report delayed by the recent federal government shutdown, reflecting record tariff revenue offset by the shift of some November benefit payments to last month's data, the Treasury Department said Tuesday. Budget results for the first month of fiscal 2026 were delayed by the 43-day shutdown of many federal agencies, which caused delays in some payments, such as government employee salaries, a Treasury official said. Last month's deficit rose $27 billion, or 10%, from the $257 billion deficit recorded in October 2024,...

US Retail Sales rise by 0.2% in September vs. 0.4% expected
Tuesday, 25 November 2025 20:43 WIB | Amerika

Retail Sales in the US rose by 0.2% on a monthly basis in September to $733.3 billion, the US Census Bureau reported on Tuesday. This print followed the 0.6% increase recorded in August and came in weaker than the market expectation of 0.4%. "Total sales for the July 2025 through September 2025 period were up 4.5 percent (±0.4 percent) from the same period a year ago," the press release read. "The July 2025 to August 2025 percent change was unrevised from up 0.6 percent (±0.2 percent). Retail trade sales were up 0.1 percent (±0.5 percent)* from August 2025, and up 3.9 percent (±0.5...

US headline Producer Prices rose by 2.7% in September
Tuesday, 25 November 2025 20:39 WIB | Amerika

US Producer Prices rose 2.7% in September from a year earlier, according to the latest figures from the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS). That was broadly in line with expectations, though slightly above August's 2.6% uptick. Stripping out food and energy, core Producer Prices were up 2.9% over the year, above the 2.7% forecast and up from the previous 2.8% increase. Source: Fxstreet

Japan–China Tensions Difficult to Ease
Tuesday, 25 November 2025 17:53 WIB | Asia

Back-to-back calls between U.S. President Donald Trump and the leaders of Japan and China have so far done little to defuse the diplomatic spat occurring between Beijing and Tokyo, as experts warn that a de-escalation of the crisis remains nowhere in sight. Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi spoke with Trump on Tuesday, hours after he held a separate call with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Takaichi, in remarks to the media after her call with Trump, said that she discussed China relations during their conversation. The flurry of calls followed a dispute triggered by Takaichi's recent...

Xi Presses Trump on Taiwan Amid Dispute with Japan, China Says (1)
Monday, 24 November 2025 23:36 WIB | ECONOMIC

Chinese President Xi Jinping pressed U.S. President Donald Trump on the status of the self-governing island of Taiwan and urged his counterpart to maintain better relations, according to the Chinese Foreign Ministry. Xi told Trump that Taiwan's return to China was an important part of the post-World War II international order, according to a statement from the call. The Chinese leader also said the two countries should maintain the positive momentum generated during their meeting last month in South Korea and expand cooperation, the statement said. The two leaders also discussed Russia's...

Economists see slightly faster US growth, sticky inflation in 2026.
Monday, 24 November 2025 18:26 WIB | Amerika

U.S. economic growth will increase slightly next year but employment gains will remain sluggish and the Federal Reserve will slow any further rate cuts, economists polled by the National Association for Business Economics said in the group's year-end forecast survey. The survey of 42 professional forecasters, conducted from November 3 to 11, found the median outlook was for growth of 2%, up from 1.8% in a prior October survey and in contrast to a growth rate of only 1.3% projected in June. Increased personal spending and business investment are seen driving growth higher, offset by what...

Trump says trade tariff revenue to ‘skyrocket' as local inventory levels drop
Monday, 24 November 2025 14:46 WIB | Amerika

U.S. President Donald Trump said fiscal revenue from his trade tariffs is set to "skyrocket" in the coming months as inventory levels among local importers run dry. Trump said in a Truth.Social post that local businesses had stocked up on inventories to sidestep his tariffs in the near-term. But those inventory levels were now "wearing thin," which he said will result in businesses paying tariffs on more goods. "...soon Tariffs will be paid on everything they apply to, without avoidance, and the amounts payable to the USA will SKYROCKET," Trump said. Trump also added that he was looking...

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PRECIOUS METALS
Gold Rises Amid Macro Uncertainty, Other Tailwinds
Tuesday, 7 October 2025 07:10 WIB

Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...

ENERGY
Oil Drops as Larger OPEC+ Supply Increase Raises Glut Concerns
Monday, 7 July 2025 09:54 WIB

Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook. Brent...

CURRENCIES
Japanese Yen reverses part of Friday's gains against USD
Monday, 18 November 2024 10:28 WIB

The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....