Markets are kicking around the idea of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, but Morgan Stanley isn't sure, warning that the odds may be closer to 50-50 despite widespread expectations. Strong economic indicators including solid GDP growth, healthy financial conditions, and low volatility stand in the way of a clear case for easing, the bank said in a recent report. Nominal GDP growth remains robust at over 5%, unemployment holds steady at 4.2%, and retail sales continue surpassing expectations, reflecting an economy far from needing stimulus, Morgan Stanley's economists said. "It cannot...
EUR/USD moves little as traders adopt caution ahead of Eurozone GDP and US Retail Sales data due on Friday.Eurozone GDP may remain consistent at 0.9% growth YoY in Q4, as expected.US Retail Sales are forecasted to contract by 0.1% MoM in January, following a previous increase of 0.4%.EUR/USD holds steady around 1.0460 during Asian trading hours on Friday, following three consecutive sessions of gains. The pair strengthened after US President Donald Trump delayed the implementation of reciprocal tariffs. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) weakens amid declining US Treasury yields, despite ongoing...
The US Dollar Index depreciated following Trump's decision to delay the implementation of reciprocal tariffs.US Retail Sales are forecasted to contract by 0.1% MoM in January, following a previous increase of 0.4%.The Greenback may gain ground as US Core PPI inflation has increased the odds of the Fed delaying rate cuts.The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the US Dollar's (USD) performance against six major currencies, remains stable after losses in the previous session. At the time of writing, the DXY hovers around 107.00, while yields on 2-year and 10-year US Treasury bonds stand at...
The USD/CHF pair gains ground to around 0.9045 during the early European session on Friday. The renewed US Dollar (USD) demand provides some support to the pair. However, the safe-haven flows amid the uncertainty and geopolitical risks might cap the upside of USD/CHF. The hotter-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) reinforced expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates for an extended period. Additionally, Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlighted that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates due to continued strength in the labor market and solid economic...
GBP/USD remains steady around 1.2560 during the Asian hours on Friday following gains in the previous session. The pair appreciated as US President Donald Trump delayed the implementation of reciprocal tariffs. Additionally, the US Dollar (USD) weakens amid falling US yields across the curve, despite ongoing concerns about a global trade war. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the US Dollar's value against six major currencies, trades around 107.00 with 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bonds standing at 4.31% and 4.53%, respectively, at the time of writing. Core PPI...
Silver price (XAG/USD) trades in positive territory for the third consecutive day near $32.50 during the Asian session on Friday. The growing concerns about US President Donald Trump's tariff policies continue to underpin the white metal. Traders brace for the US Retail Sales for January, which are due later on Friday. US President Donald Trump promised to target countries that charge tax on US imports by matching them with a reciprocal tariff. Late Thursday, Trump ordered his administration to start study duties by early April, prompting fears of a global trade war, boosting the safe-haven...
President Donald Trump said he would fire Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors if she does not resign her post over mortgage-fraud accusations from a top...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its cash rate at 4.1% during its April meeting, holding borrowing costs unchanged after slashing 25 bps in the February meeting, aligning with market...