Markets are kicking around the idea of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, but Morgan Stanley isn't sure, warning that the odds may be closer to 50-50 despite widespread expectations. Strong economic indicators including solid GDP growth, healthy financial conditions, and low volatility stand in the way of a clear case for easing, the bank said in a recent report. Nominal GDP growth remains robust at over 5%, unemployment holds steady at 4.2%, and retail sales continue surpassing expectations, reflecting an economy far from needing stimulus, Morgan Stanley's economists said. "It cannot...
GBP/USD remains steady around 1.2560 during the Asian hours on Friday following gains in the previous session. The pair appreciated as US President Donald Trump delayed the implementation of reciprocal tariffs. Additionally, the US Dollar (USD) weakens amid falling US yields across the curve, despite ongoing concerns about a global trade war. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the US Dollar's value against six major currencies, trades around 107.00 with 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bonds standing at 4.31% and 4.53%, respectively, at the time of writing. Core PPI...
Silver price (XAG/USD) trades in positive territory for the third consecutive day near $32.50 during the Asian session on Friday. The growing concerns about US President Donald Trump's tariff policies continue to underpin the white metal. Traders brace for the US Retail Sales for January, which are due later on Friday. US President Donald Trump promised to target countries that charge tax on US imports by matching them with a reciprocal tariff. Late Thursday, Trump ordered his administration to start study duties by early April, prompting fears of a global trade war, boosting the safe-haven...
Gold price (XAU/USD) resumes rally during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The growing concerns about US President Donald Trump's tariff plans provide some support to the precious metal. Additionally, a decline in US bond yields across the curve contributes to the yellow metal's upside. However, the expectation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its hawkish stance and hold the interest rate higher for longer could drag the non-yielding yellow metal lower. Traders will keep an eye on the release of US Retail Sales for January, which is due later on FridayGold price edges...
USD/JPY remains steady after registering losses in the previous session, trading around 152.60 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair faced challenges following US President Donald Trump's decision to postpone the implementation of reciprocal tariffs. Additionally, the US Dollar (USD) weakens amid falling US yields across the curve, despite ongoing concerns about a global trade war. Investors now await the release of US Retail Sales data later in the day. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the US Dollar's value against six major currencies, extends its losses for the fourth...
The Australian Dollar (AUD) strengthens for the second consecutive day on Friday, driven by US President Donald Trump's decision to postpone the implementation of reciprocal tariffs. Additionally, the AUD/USD pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) weakens amid falling US yields across the curve, despite ongoing concerns about a global trade war. Investors now await the release of US Retail Sales data later in the day. The AUD may face headwinds as expectations of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate cut remain intact following fresh inflation outlook data. Consumer inflation expectations...
President Donald Trump said he would fire Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors if she does not resign her post over mortgage-fraud accusations from a top...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its cash rate at 4.1% during its April meeting, holding borrowing costs unchanged after slashing 25 bps in the February meeting, aligning with market...