Thursday, 31 July 2025
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
US Dollar Index holds position above 107.00 ahead of Retail Sales figures
Friday, 14 February 2025 14:19 WIB | US DOLLAR |DOLLAR

The US Dollar Index depreciated following Trump's decision to delay the implementation of reciprocal tariffs.
US Retail Sales are forecasted to contract by 0.1% MoM in January, following a previous increase of 0.4%.
The Greenback may gain ground as US Core PPI inflation has increased the odds of the Fed delaying rate cuts.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the US Dollar's (USD) performance against six major currencies, remains stable after losses in the previous session. At the time of writing, the DXY hovers around 107.00, while yields on 2-year and 10-year US Treasury bonds stand at 4.31% and 4.53%, respectively.

The US Dollar faces pressure following President Donald Trump's decision to delay the implementation of reciprocal tariffs. Additionally, declining US Treasury yields weigh on the Greenback, despite ongoing concerns about a global trade war.

Investor attention now shifts to the upcoming US Retail Sales report, the last key economic release of the week. Markets anticipate a slight monthly decline of 0.1% in January, following a 0.4% increase in the previous period.
Core PPI inflation in the United States (US) rose to 3.6% YoY in January, exceeding the expected 3.3% but slightly below the revised 3.7% (previously reported as 3.5%). This has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will delay rate cuts until the second half of the year. Additionally, persistently strong inflation could further support the outlook for the Fed to keep interest rates at 4.25%-4.50% for an extended period.

In his semi-annual address to Congress, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that policymakers "do not need to be in a hurry" to cut interest rates, citing a strong labor market and robust economic growth. He also warned that President Trump's tariff policies could drive prices higher, complicating the Fed's ability to lower rates.

A Reuters poll of economists now suggests the Fed will delay interest rate cuts until the next quarter due to rising inflation concerns. Many analysts who had previously anticipated a March rate cut have revised their forecasts, with the majority of respondents (surveyed between February 4-10) now expecting at least one rate cut by June, though opinions on the exact timing remain divided.

Source: Fxstreet

RELATED NEWS
Dollar eyes first monthly gain for the year as Fed in no hurry to ease rates ...
Thursday, 31 July 2025 08:47 WIB

The dollar flirted with a two-month peak on Thursday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stuck to his patient approach on rates in a closely watched policy decision and offered little insight on...

Dollar advances against peers after strong GDP data and with Fed in focus...
Wednesday, 30 July 2025 23:31 WIB

The dollar advanced against major peers on Wednesday following better-than-expected U.S. GDP data and as investors awaited the outcome of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting later in the session. U....

Dollar Weakens, Snaps Four-Day Winning Streak Ahead Of Fed Meeting ...
Wednesday, 30 July 2025 15:55 WIB

The US dollar index weakened on Wednesday (July 30th), snapping a four-day winning streak as investors remained cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, following a sharp reaction to th...

The US Dollar Continues Its Trade-Driven Rally As Markets Await Key US Economic Data...
Tuesday, 29 July 2025 20:05 WIB

The US dollar (USD) held firm on Tuesday (July 29th) after posting its strongest daily gain since May, gaining 1.0% on Monday. This rally came after the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) ...

Dollar Gauge Steady as US-China Trade Talks Resume: Inside G-10...
Tuesday, 29 July 2025 09:59 WIB

A dollar index remained steady as traders weigh US-China trade talks ahead of key economic data releases expected later this week. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index little changed on Tuesday after...

LATEST NEWS
Gold rebounds from one-month low amid resurgent trade uncertainty

Gold prices rebounded on Thursday from a one-month low hit in the previous session, as trade uncertainty sparked by the announcement of new US tariffs boosted bullion's appeal, even as expectations of a US interest rate cut in September...

Global Trade Uncertainty Lifts Gold Prices from a Month-Long Low

Gold prices rebounded on Thursday (July 31) from a one-month low reached in the previous session, as trade uncertainty sparked by the announcement of new US tariffs increased bullion's appeal, even as expectations of a US interest rate cut in...

BOJ Keeps Rates Unchanged, Lifts Price View After Trade Deal

The Bank of Japan held its benchmark interest rate steady and raised its inflation outlook more than expected in a sign it may be closer to a rate hike, while continuing to warn that it's still assessing the impact of President Donald Trump's...

POPULAR NEWS
European Equities Rise in Tuesday Trading; Novo Nordisk Falls 23% on Q2 Results, 2025 Outlook
Wednesday, 30 July 2025 00:36 WIB

European stock markets closed higher in Tuesday trading as the Stoxx Europe 600 was up 0.33%, Germany's DAX climbed 1.03%, the FTSE 100 gained...

European stocks close lower as EU-U.S. trade deal optimism wanes
Tuesday, 29 July 2025 00:34 WIB

Europe's Stoxx 600 index erased earlier gains to close 0.23% lower as investors turned less positive over the details of the U.S.-EU trade...

EU and U.S. Strike Metals Deal to Tackle Chinese Overcapacity
Tuesday, 29 July 2025 09:36 WIB

The European Union and the U.S. will form a "metals alliance" to counter the impact of subsidised Chinese production on global markets, as part of...

S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Hit Records
Tuesday, 29 July 2025 22:28 WIB

US stocks maintained modest gains on Tuesday (July 29) as the market digested a series of earnings reports ahead of key economic developments. The...