The window dressing phenomenon is expected to again influence financial market movements throughout 2025, especially as each quarter approaches its close. This strategy is generally employed by investment managers to enhance portfolio performance in periodic reports, often encouraging the strengthening of risky assets such as stocks. However, this shift in sentiment also has different implications for hedge funds, particularly gold. Quarter One (Q1): Limited Pressure for Gold At the end of March 2025, Q1 window dressing tended to be moderate. Funds began flowing into blue-chip stocks after...
The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce monetary policy decisions and publish the revised Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), the so-called dot plot, following the September policy meeting on Wednesday. Market participants widely anticipate the US central bank to cut the policy rate for the first time since last December, lowering it to the range of 4%-4.25%. The CME FedWatch Tool shows that investors see only about a 6% chance of a bigger rate cut, while pricing in about an 80% probability of a total of 75-basis-point (bps) reduction for the remainder of the year....
The Fed is widely expected to slash interest rates at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy gathering, although the size of the possible drawdown and commentary around the move remain a source of debate. Markets are all but certain the central bank will cut borrowing costs by at least 25 basis points from the current target range of 4.25% to 4.5%, while there is also a slim chance of a deeper, half-percentage point reduction. Underpinning these estimates have been signs of a weakening U.S. labor market, which are seen overshadowing simultaneous indications of sticky inflation. In...
Bank Indonesia unexpectedly cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 bps to 4.75% at its September 2025 policy meeting, marking the third consecutive monthly rate cut and defying market expectations to hold rates steady at 5.0%. This is the sixth rate reduction since last September, bringing the benchmark rate to its lowest level since October 2022. The decision reflects projections that inflation for 2025–2026 will remain within the central bank's target range of 2.5% ± 1%, a stable Rupiah exchange rate, and ongoing efforts to support economic growth. Recent data showed that GDP grew by 5.12%...
U.S. President Donald Trump's nomination to the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, economist Stephen Miran, was approved by the Senate in a narrow vote on Monday evening. Miran's appointment to the Fed board was approved in a 48-47 vote, with the confirmation now allowing him to participate in the Fed's September 16-17 meeting. Miran was nominated by Trump to fill a seat abruptly vacated by former Fed governor Adriana Kugler, with his term set to expire in January 2026, when the seat's original term ends. Miran currently serves as the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and...
U.S. President Donald Trump cannot fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, an appeals court ruled on Monday, allowing her to remain on the central bank's board for a closely-watched policy meeting this week. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit in a 2-1 ruling denied the Department of Justice's request to hold an earlier ruling blocking Trump from removing Cook. Monday's ruling came just a week after a district judge also ruled against Cook's firing. U.S. District Judge Jia Cobb had last week ruled that Trump's allegations of mortgage fraud against Cook, which...
Asian stock markets fell in unison on Thursday, following Wall Street's decline. A brief rally in tech stocks led by Nvidia quickly faded, prompting investors to turn away from riskier assets like...
Pasangan mata uang EUR/USD mengawali pekan ini dengan nada sedikit melemah di sesi Asia, diperdagangkan di sekitar 1,1730, turun kurang dari 0,10% dalam sehari. Meski terkoreksi, euro masih berada...
US President Donald Trump said on Monday that the United States may store and possibly sell oil seized off the coast of Venezuela in recent weeks, as Reuters reported on Monday.
Trump added that...