Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
Silver (XAG/USD) is expected to consolidate the strong gains recorded in recent days, moving within a narrower price range during the Asian session on Thursday (November 13th). The precious metal is currently trading slightly below its highest level in nearly four weeks and appears poised to continue its rally. Technically, the upward movement from the previous support level is a positive signal for silver, while indicators on the daily chart show that the price is still far from overbought territory, indicating potential for further upside. If silver manages to break through the previous...
The US dollar index held steady around 99.5 on Thursday, moving sideways after the US House of Representatives passed a short-term funding bill to end the longest government shutdown in history. This measure is expected to be signed by President Donald Trump soon, allowing government operations to resume in the coming days. The end of the shutdown will also pave the way for the release of delayed economic reports, although the White House indicated that October employment and inflation data may not be released. In monetary markets, market participants estimate there is about a 60% chance...
Gold was steady after rising almost 2% in the previous session, as traders weighed an uncertain US economic outlook that's been compounded by an absence of reliable data. Bullion was trading just below $4,200 an ounce on Thursday, consolidating four days of gains — the longest winning streak in a month. While US lawmakers are expected to end the longest government shutdown in history, the White House has warned that official jobs and inflation reports for October are unlikely to be released. The data void throughout the shutdown has caused investors to fly blind or rely on...
World oil prices continue to weaken after previously plummeting by more than 4%. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is now around $58 per barrel, while Brent has fallen below $63. This decline occurred after OPEC reported that global oil supply exceeded demand in the third quarter. This condition indicates that the long-awaited oil surplus is finally starting to be felt in the market. Signs of oversupply are also evident in changes in price patterns in the oil market. The WTI prompt spread briefly moved into contango, a situation where oil prices for future delivery are higher than current...
Oil prices plunged more than $2 per barrel on Wednesday (November 12th), weighed down by an OPEC report stating that global oil supply will match demand in 2026, marking a further shift from its previous projection of a supply deficit. Brent crude futures closed at $62.71 per barrel, down $2.45, or 3.76%, after rising 1.7% on Tuesday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude closed at $58.49 per barrel, down $2.55, or 4.18%, after rising 1.5% in the previous session. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) noted that global oil supply will match demand next year due to...
Gold prices rose 2% on Wednesday (November 12) as US Treasury yields weakened ahead of the House vote on reopening the government, a move that could revive economic data releases and strengthen expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December. Spot gold prices rose 2% to $4,208.98 an ounce, their highest level since October 21, as of 1:46 PM ET (6:46 PM GMT). US gold futures for December delivery closed 2.4% higher at $4,213.60 an ounce. The benchmark US 10-year yield fell 1% to its lowest level since November 5. "The US government is starting to reopen, and the market is...
Silver prices rose about 3.5% to over $53 an ounce on Wednesday, their highest level in nearly three weeks, supported by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates this year. Optimism over the imminent end of the US government shutdown, which will allow for the release of new economic data, also fueled this speculation. The market currently rates the chance of a 25-bps Fed rate cut in December at about 65%, up from about 62% the day before. Meanwhile, supply pressures are expected to persist, with demand likely to increase amid the start of the Indian...
Gold strengthened as traders weighed the imminent end of the U.S. government shutdown and the outlook for the Fed's interest rate direction. U.S. House members returned to Washington on Wednesday to vote on ending the 43-day government shutdown. The legislation, a compromise forged in the Senate and approved by President Donald Trump, would reopen the federal government and fund some agencies, but does not include an extension of the enhanced Obamacare premium tax credit. Treasury yields eased slightly and the U.S. dollar pared its gains. This helped lift bullion by up to 1.5%, as lower...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....