Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
US President Donald Trump took to social media on Thursday, taking to Twitter to inform global markets that his planned 25% tariff package on Mexico and Canada will go into effect on March 4, rather than the April 2 date he had asserted hours earlier. The president also told markets that he planned to impose an additional 10% tariff on Chinese goods on that date. At the same time, White House officials are preparing an additional "reciprocal tariff" package that is also in the works aimed at multiple countries, potentially expanding to include the UK and the European Union in general. More...
Pending home sales in the United States fell 4.6% in January 2025 from the previous month, following an upwardly revised 4.1% decline in December 2024. This drop pushed the index to a record low of 70.6, significantly worse than market expectations of a 1.3% decline. Sales plunged 9.2% in the South, fell 2% in the Midwest and went down 1.2% in the West but rose 0.3% in the Northeast. "It is unclear if the coldest January in 25 years contributed to fewer buyers in the market, and if so, expect greater sales activity in upcoming months. However, it's evident that elevated home prices and...
New orders for manufactured durable goods in the US rose 3.1% month-over-month to $282.3 billion in January 2025, the most in six months and above market expectations of a 2% increase. It follows a downwardly revised 1.8% drop in December. The rebound was driven by transportation equipment, which surged 9.8%, particularly nondefense aircraft and parts (93.9%). Orders also rose for capital goods (10.7%), primary metals (1%), machinery (0.2%), computers and electronic products (1.7%), and electrical equipment, appliances, and components (0.1%). Excluding transportation, new orders were...
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Thursday that the United States' Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded at an annual rate of 2.3% in the fourth quarter. This reading matched the initial estimate and came in line with the market expectation. "Real GDP was revised up by less than 0.1 percentage point from the advance estimate released last month, primarily reflecting upward revisions to government spending and exports that were partly offset by downward revisions to consumer spending and investment," the BEA explained in its press release. Source: FXStreet
Initial jobless claims in the U.S. rose 20,000 from the previous week to 242,000 in the period ended Feb. 22, beating market expectations of 222,000.Source: Newsmaker23
US President Donald Trump hit markets with new tariff headlines on Wednesday, reiterating his insistence on 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico and adding the European Union to the list of countries that will punish US consumers for importing goods from them. While redoubling his plans to fund the US deficit spending with import taxes, President Trump also delayed his own tariffs for the fourth straight time, deciding that tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports will not go into effect until April. Key highlights Not stopping tariffs. Tariffs will go into effect, not all, but many. Tariffs...
New-home sales in the US fell at the start of the year to a three-month low, reflecting a combination of affordability challenges as well as harsh winter weather. Purchases of new single-family homes decreased 10.5% last month to a 657,000 annualized rate, according to government data issued Wednesday. That trailed the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg, who expected an annual rate of 680,000. Around the US, new-home sales declined by nearly 15% in the South, the biggest homebuilding region, where several areas experienced record snowfall in...
U.S. Treasury yields regained some lost ground on Wednesday after the House of Representatives advanced President Donald Trump's tax-cut agenda, while the dollar and oil prices struggled on mounting worries over the U.S. growth outlook. U.S. copper prices surged more than 4% while those elsewhere fell overnight after Trump on Tuesday ordered a probe into potential new tariffs on copper imports. The Republican-controlled U.S. House of Representatives late on Tuesday narrowly passed Trump's $4.5 trillion tax-cut plan, sending the budget resolution to the Senate, where Republicans are...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....