Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
The bond vigilantes were stalking global debt markets on Thursday, keeping the dollar and stocks subdued too, ahead of a crucial vote in the United States on President Donald Trump's "big beautiful" tax bill. Caution dominated in Europe after a lacklustre U.S. 20-year bond sale on Wednesday reinforced a "Sell America" narrative already nagging on investors' minds after Moody's last week cut its triple-A credit rating for the United States. Germany's long-term bond yields hit their highest in two-months as global yield curves steepened. Britain's government borrowed more than expected in...
The S&P Global UK Composite PMI rose to 49.4 in May of 2025 from 48.5 in April, aligned with market expectations of 49.3 to reflect the second consecutive contraction in private-sector activity, according to a flash estimate. Activity declined manufacturing (45.1 vs 45.4 in April), reflecting the sharpest drop in 19 months, and offsetting a marginal rebound for service providers (50.2 vs 49). New orders declined the most in two-and-a-half years, as clients cut back non-essential spending due to the increase in global economic uncertainty, stemmed by the threat of aggressive tariffs from...
The Eurozone manufacturing sector remained in contraction, while services sector also followed suit in May, according to data from the HCOB's latest Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) Survey, published on Thursday. The Eurozone Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) improved to 49.4 in May from 49 in April, beating the market estimate of 49.3. The bloc's Services PMI fell to 48.9 May from 50.1 in April. The data came in below the expected 50.3 print and hit a 16-month low. The HCOB Eurozone PMI Composite contracted to 49.5 in May, following April's 50.4. The market forecast was...
China and the 10-member ASEAN bloc have concluded negotiations on an upgraded free-trade agreement, known as version 3.0, marking a key move to deepen Beijing's regional ties amid ongoing U.S. trade disputes. The deal, which updates a 15-year-old agreement, awaits ratification and could be signed within the year. "China stands ready to work with ASEAN to ensure the stability of global supply chains, advance shared development, and safeguard fairness and justice," said Commerce Minister Wang Wentao. He criticized U.S. trade policies, warning that "there are no winners in a tariff war or...
U.S. President Donald Trump's massive tax and spending bill cleared an important procedural hurdle in the Republican-controlled House of Representatives on Wednesday, when a gatekeeper committee approved the measure and set up a floor vote for passage to occur within hours. Republicans have been deeply divided over the bill, which would extend Trump's signature 2017 tax cuts, create new breaks for tipped income and auto loans, end many green-energy subsidies and boost spending on the military and immigration enforcement. It would pay for those changes by tightening eligibility for food and...
The US House of Representatives is set to begin voting on a Republican tax and budget bill that largely contains many of President Donald Trump's wish list items. President Trump has informally referred to the tax and budget bill as his "big, beautiful bill," prompting Republican lawmakers to officially rename the document the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act." Key Republicans have been pushing back against the bill's opponents within their own party after some hardline Republicans voiced their displeasure with the broad outlines of the bill: some feel it doesn't include enough cuts to key...
President Donald Trump's tax cut and spending bill faces a critical stress test on Wednesday as Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives try to overcome internal divisions about cuts to the Medicaid health program and tax breaks in high-cost coastal states. The gate-keeping House Rules Committee has scheduled an unusual 1 a.m. ET (0500 GMT) hearing that is expected to run well into daylight hours where members will debate details of the measure. If passed by Congress, it would reduce some health and food benefits for low-income Americans, cancel green-energy programs and provide...
British inflation jumped to a higher-than-expected annual rate of 3.5% in April from 2.6% in March, official figures showed on Wednesday. A Reuters poll of economists had pointed to a reading of 3.3% in April while the Bank of England earlier this month projected inflation of 3.4%. April saw increases in gas, electricity and water prices, alongside higher taxes on employers - all of which are likely to push up prices. Earlier this month the BoE predicted that inflation would peak at 3.5% this year. Some officials at the central bank disagree with its key assumption that the climb in...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....