The US dollar index fluctuated around 98.4 on Friday (December 19) and is expected to close the week relatively unchanged. Investors are still weighing the chances of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next year, as inflation continues to decline and signs of weakness in the US labor market emerge. The latest inflation data indicates price pressures are easing. The November CPI report showed headline inflation fell to 2.7%, the lowest since July and below market expectations. Core inflation also weakened to 2.6%, the slowest pace since early 2021. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate rose to...
The S&P Global Flash US Manufacturing PMI increased to 52.3 in May 2025, the highest in three months, compared to 50.2 in April and beating forecasts of 50.1. The reading signalled the strongest improvement in business conditions since June 2022, as factory production moved back into expansion territory after two months of decline, and new order growth hit a 15-month high. However, the biggest positive contribution came from inventories, which rose to the greatest extent recorded since the survey began in 2009. Longer delivery times – which are typically associated with busier...
The Republican-controlled U.S. House of Representatives narrowly passed a sweeping tax and spending bill that would enact much of President Donald Trump's policy agenda on Thursday and saddle the country with trillions of dollars in debt. The bill would fulfill many of Trump's populist campaign pledges, delivering new tax breaks on tips and car loans and boosting spending on the military and border enforcement. It will add about $3.8 trillion to the federal government's $36.2 trillion in debt over the next decade, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. What Trump called...
Initial jobless claims in the United States inched lower by 2,000 from the previous week to 227,000 on the period ending May 17th, the lowest in four weeks, and below market expectations of an increase to 230,000. The result extended the period of relative strength in the US labor market, despite the prolonged period of elevated interest rates and business pessimism highlighted by key leading economic indicators due to the heightened period of policy uncertainty. In turn, outstanding unemployment claims rose by 36,000 to 1,903,000 on the previous week, above expectations of 1,890,000, to...
The bond vigilantes were stalking global debt markets on Thursday, keeping the dollar and stocks subdued too, ahead of a crucial vote in the United States on President Donald Trump's "big beautiful" tax bill. Caution dominated in Europe after a lacklustre U.S. 20-year bond sale on Wednesday reinforced a "Sell America" narrative already nagging on investors' minds after Moody's last week cut its triple-A credit rating for the United States. Germany's long-term bond yields hit their highest in two-months as global yield curves steepened. Britain's government borrowed more than expected in...
The S&P Global UK Composite PMI rose to 49.4 in May of 2025 from 48.5 in April, aligned with market expectations of 49.3 to reflect the second consecutive contraction in private-sector activity, according to a flash estimate. Activity declined manufacturing (45.1 vs 45.4 in April), reflecting the sharpest drop in 19 months, and offsetting a marginal rebound for service providers (50.2 vs 49). New orders declined the most in two-and-a-half years, as clients cut back non-essential spending due to the increase in global economic uncertainty, stemmed by the threat of aggressive tariffs from...
The Eurozone manufacturing sector remained in contraction, while services sector also followed suit in May, according to data from the HCOB's latest Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) Survey, published on Thursday. The Eurozone Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) improved to 49.4 in May from 49 in April, beating the market estimate of 49.3. The bloc's Services PMI fell to 48.9 May from 50.1 in April. The data came in below the expected 50.3 print and hit a 16-month low. The HCOB Eurozone PMI Composite contracted to 49.5 in May, following April's 50.4. The market forecast was...
China and the 10-member ASEAN bloc have concluded negotiations on an upgraded free-trade agreement, known as version 3.0, marking a key move to deepen Beijing's regional ties amid ongoing U.S. trade disputes. The deal, which updates a 15-year-old agreement, awaits ratification and could be signed within the year. "China stands ready to work with ASEAN to ensure the stability of global supply chains, advance shared development, and safeguard fairness and justice," said Commerce Minister Wang Wentao. He criticized U.S. trade policies, warning that "there are no winners in a tariff war or...
U.S. President Donald Trump's massive tax and spending bill cleared an important procedural hurdle in the Republican-controlled House of Representatives on Wednesday, when a gatekeeper committee approved the measure and set up a floor vote for passage to occur within hours. Republicans have been deeply divided over the bill, which would extend Trump's signature 2017 tax cuts, create new breaks for tipped income and auto loans, end many green-energy subsidies and boost spending on the military and immigration enforcement. It would pay for those changes by tightening eligibility for food and...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....