Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
The United Kingdom (UK) Retail Sales jumped 1.2% month-over-month (MoM) in April after advancing 0.1% in March (revised from 0.4%), the latest data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed Friday. Markets expected a 0.2% rise in the reported month. The core Retail Sales, stripping the auto motor fuel sales, rose 1.3% MoM, compared to the previous revised growth of 0.2% and the estimated 0.3% reading. The annual Retail Sales in the UK climbed 5.0% in April versus March's 1.9%, while the core Retail Sales also grew 5.3% in the same month versus 2.6% previous revision....
Beijing and Washington maintained high-level contact with a call on Thursday between U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau and China's Executive Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu, signaling ongoing communication following their recent trade truce. According to the U.S. State Department, the two officials "discussed a wide range of issues of mutual interest" and "exchanged thoughts on crucial issues," though no specifics were provided. Both sides underscored the importance of the bilateral relationship and agreed to keep lines of communication open. The call comes amid renewed...
Britain's consumers turned a bit more confident in May, according to a survey published on Friday that might reflect the impact of falling interest rates and an easing of global trade tensions. Market research firm GfK's consumer confidence index rose to -20 in May from -23 in April, led by more optimism among households over the outlook for their finances and the wider economy. A Reuters poll of economists had pointed to a smaller increase to -22. Neil Bellamy, consumer insights director at GfK, said consumers may have breathed a sigh of relief from the Bank of England's May 8 interest...
US Treasury yields fell on Thursday (5/23) after the 30-year US bond yield hit a 19-month high amid concerns about a widening US fiscal deficit, as Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill" passed the US House and heads to the Senate. Longer-term Treasury yields fell as Trump's tax-heavy budget passed the House, pushing fiscal concerns to the forefront The US House of Representatives approved Trump's budget by a single vote on Thursday. The proposal, which would provide tax breaks on tips and loans on cars – made in the US – is expected to increase the deficit by $3.8 billion, according to the...
The S&P Global US Services PMI rose to 52.3 in May of 2025 from the 17-month low of 50.8 in the previous month, ahead of market expectations of 50.8, according to a flash estimate. Businesses received higher amount of new orders in the period despite the aggressive drop in orders from foreign markets, which was the sharpest on record when excluding the pandemic, indicating that tariffs and unpredictable economic policy by the government continued to impact businesses. The uncertainty and softer demand for capacity drove service providers to trim their employment levels for the second...
The S&P Global Flash US Manufacturing PMI increased to 52.3 in May 2025, the highest in three months, compared to 50.2 in April and beating forecasts of 50.1. The reading signalled the strongest improvement in business conditions since June 2022, as factory production moved back into expansion territory after two months of decline, and new order growth hit a 15-month high. However, the biggest positive contribution came from inventories, which rose to the greatest extent recorded since the survey began in 2009. Longer delivery times – which are typically associated with busier...
The Republican-controlled U.S. House of Representatives narrowly passed a sweeping tax and spending bill that would enact much of President Donald Trump's policy agenda on Thursday and saddle the country with trillions of dollars in debt. The bill would fulfill many of Trump's populist campaign pledges, delivering new tax breaks on tips and car loans and boosting spending on the military and border enforcement. It will add about $3.8 trillion to the federal government's $36.2 trillion in debt over the next decade, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. What Trump called...
Initial jobless claims in the United States inched lower by 2,000 from the previous week to 227,000 on the period ending May 17th, the lowest in four weeks, and below market expectations of an increase to 230,000. The result extended the period of relative strength in the US labor market, despite the prolonged period of elevated interest rates and business pessimism highlighted by key leading economic indicators due to the heightened period of policy uncertainty. In turn, outstanding unemployment claims rose by 36,000 to 1,903,000 on the previous week, above expectations of 1,890,000, to...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....