
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Thursday said the lack of official data on inflation during the government shutdown "accentuates" his caution about cutting interest rates further.
"I lean more to the, when it's foggy, let's just be a little careful and slow down" Goolsbee said in an interview with CNBC.
Fed policymakers are relying on private data and their own surveys and outreach to gauge where the economy is heading while official economic data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and other U.S. agencies is on pause during what is now a record-long federal government shutdown.
After the Fed cut the policy rate last week for the second month in a row, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he feels the lack of government data could be a reason to slow down, as one does when "driving in the fog."
Goolsbee said the Fed still has access to a range of private data on the state of the job market, including his own Fed bank's new biweekly estimate of the jobless rate, which on Thursday showed the unemployment rate likely edged up in October to 4.4%, the highest in four years.
That estimate, and most of the other available labor market indicators, suggests there's "a lot of stability in the job market," Goolsbee said, adding, "if it starts to deteriorate on the job market side we're going to see that pretty much right away."
There are far fewer sources of data on inflation outside of the official data, he said, and noted that just before the government stopped publishing economic data the statistics had shown an uptick in inflation.
"If inflation starts to go wrong, we're not really going to get observations that show that," Goolsbee said. "That accentuates my caution of front-loading rate cuts and just assuming that the inflation that we've seen the last three months is going to go away."
Source: Investing.com
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said she saw no need to change U.S. interest rates for months ahead after the central bank cut borrowing costs at its last three meetings, the ...
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) officially raised interest rates on Friday to their highest level in three decades. This move is a key part of the BOJ's efforts to end a long era of ultra-loose monetary polic...
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to raise interest rates on Friday to a three-decade high, from 0.5% to 0.75%, signaling readiness for further increases beyond next year. This move demonstrates the...
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said Thursday that recent inflation data is "good" and could pave the way for more interest rate cuts next year if the trend continues. "My v...
Fed Governor Christopher Waller said Wednesday that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates, given the current outlook, according to Reuters. Key points: "The job market is very weak, job growth...
The S&P 500 rose on Monday, spurred by a rise in technology shares, to start a shortened holiday week. The broad market index climbed 0.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 133 points, or 0.3%. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.7%. Key...
Gold (XAU/USD) surges to fresh record highs on Monday, as escalating geopolitical tensions bolster safe-haven demand. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $4,413, up about 1.70% on the day, after breaking above the October 21 peak near...
The U.S. dollar drifted lower on Monday after logging some gains last week, while threats of government intervention helped the Japanese yen recover mildly from recent losses. Regional markets showed little reaction to the People's Bank of China...
US stocks closed sharply higher on a triple-witching Friday, with the S&P 500 rising 0,9%, the Nasdaq 100 gaining 1.4%, and the Dow Jones adding...
European equities closed higher on Friday, with the STOXX 50 up 0.6% and the STOXX 600 rising 0.4% to a fresh record, boosted by expectations of...
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said she saw no need to change U.S. interest rates for months ahead after the central bank...
Asian stocks opened higher, following Friday's rise in US stocks, which fueled hopes for a year-end rally. Many investors are starting to re-enter...