Initial jobless claims in the US surged by 27,000 from the previous week to 263,000 in the first week of September, the highest single-week figure since October 2021, and well above market consensus of 235,000 initial claims. This finding aligns with a series of downbeat labor market surveys released since the beginning of the month, adding to evidence of worsening employment conditions in the US. (alg) Source: Trading Economics
Imports to Germany increased by 0.7% month-over-month to EUR 113.8 billion in February 2025, easing from an upwardly revised 5% gain in the previous month. Arrivals from EU countries grew by 2.3%, mainly due to increased purchases from both the Euro area (2.8%) and the non-Euro area (1.4%). Meanwhile, arrivals from third countries declined by 1%, primarily driven by lower purchases from the US (-3.9%), the UK (-5.2%), and the Russian Federation (-4.5%). source: Federal Statistical OfficeExports from Germany rose by 1.8% month-over-month to a ten-month high of EUR 131.6 billion in February...
Goldman Sachs analysts said on Sunday evening that they now expect an even greater chance of a U.S. recession in 2025, especially after President Donald Trump unveiled his agenda for reciprocal tariffs. Goldman Sachs hiked its odds of a 2025 recession to 45% from 35% a week ago. The investment bank had last week also hiked its recession forecast. Goldman Sachs said "a sharp tightening in financial conditions, foreign consumer boycotts, and a continued spike in policy uncertainty that is likely to depress capital spending by more than we had previously assumed" drove its heightened...
US President Donald Trump said on Sunday that unless the China trade deficit is solved, there will be no deal, according to Reuters. Trump further stated that "sometimes you have to take medicine" when asked about recent market volatility, insisting he was not deliberately trying to trigger a selloff. US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed on Sunday that the tariffs would not be postponed and the policy will remain in place for days and weeks. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that more than 50 nations have approached the administration for negotiations but cautioned,...
The US economy added 228K jobs in March 2025, well above a downwardly revised 117K in February and beating forecasts of 135K. It is the strongest figure in three months, as job gains occurred in health care (54K), social assistance (24K), and in transportation and warehousing (23K). Employment also increased in retail trade (24K), partially reflecting the return of workers from a strike. Federal government employment declined by 4K, following a loss of 11K jobs in February. Employment showed little change over the month in other major industries, including mining, quarrying, and oil and...
China's reaction to new U.S. tariffs will likely focus on domestic stimulus and strengthening ties with trading partners, according to analysts based in Greater China. Hours after U.S. President Donald Trump announced additional 34% tariffs on China, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce called on the U.S. to cancel the tariffs, and vowed unspecified countermeasures. The sweeping U.S. policy also slapped new duties on the European Union and major Asian countries. Chinese exports to the U.S. this year had already been hit by 20% in additional tariffs, raising the total rate on shipments from...
China's official NBS Manufacturing PMI increased to 49.7 in June 2025 from May's 49.5, matching market expectations while marking the third consecutive month of contraction in factory activity.
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Both the STOXX 50 and STOXX 600 hovered around the flatline on Friday, as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of further developments in trade talks between US President Trump and Chinese...
Less than four months ago, President Donald Trump met with Qatar's leader, praised his magnificent palace, and signed a comprehensive defense agreement with the Gulf monarchy, a key ally that hosts...