The University of Michigan consumer sentiment for the US dropped to 55.4 in September 2025, down from 58 in August and well below market expectations of 58, according to preliminary estimates. This marked the second consecutive monthly decrease, pushing sentiment to its lowest level since May. The current conditions index deteriorated to 61.2 from 61.7 and the expectations gauge fell to 51.8 from 55.9. Meanwhile, year-ahead inflation expectations held steady at 4.8% while the five-year expectations moved up for the second straight month to 3.9% from 3.5%. Source : Trading Economics
Goldman Sachs has said it now sees a 35% chance of the U.S. entering a recession, down from a prior estimate of 45%, following an agreement between the U.S. and China that sparked hopes for an easing in recently intensifying trade tensions. In a note to clients, the brokerage also lifted its projection for U.S. gross domestic product growth this year by 0.5 percentage points to 1%. On Monday, Washington and Beijing announced that they had reached an agreement that would slash their sky-high respective tariffs on each other and pause the levies for 90 days. U.S. tariffs on China were...
The easing of trade tensions between the United States and China is a step in the right direction and helps reduce European fears of being flooded with Chinese goods redirected from the U.S. market, European Economic Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis said. Speaking to reporters after a meeting of European Union finance ministers on Tuesday, Dombrovskis noted, however, that the reduction of tariffs after weekend talks in Switzerland was for 90 days and the tariff rates that remained were still high. "Obviously this easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China is heading in the right...
The annual core consumer price inflation rate in the United States, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, stood at a four-year low of 2.8% in April 2025, unchanged from March and matching market forecasts. The shelter index, accounting for over two thirds of the total 12-month increase, was at 4%, matching March's reading. Increases were also seen for medical care (1%), motor vehicle insurance (+6.4%), education (+3.8%), and recreation (+1.6%). On a monthly basis, core consumer prices rose by 0.2% in April, up from the 0.1% increase in March, just below market expectations of...
The U.S.-China deal to lower the most aggressive import tariffs between the world's two largest economies could lessen the impact of their trade war, though the levies left in place are still steep and will leave a mark on the economy, Federal Reserve officials said on Monday. Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler said the 90-day pause on import levies at levels that threatened to shut down bilateral trade reduces chances that the U.S. central bank will need to lower interest rates in response to an economic slowdown. The outcome of the weekend meetings between Chinese and U.S. officials...
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee took a cautionary stance on the ever-evolving trade stance of the Trump administration on Monday. According to Goolsbee's interview with The New York Times, constantly-changing tariffs and trade strategies from the White House have thrown a very large wrench in plans for hiring and investment for many industries, pinning the Fed in a wait-and-see mode on interest rates. On the US-China tariff reduction: It is definitely less impactful stagflationarily than the path they were on.Yet it's three to five times higher than what it...
Asia-Pacific markets traded higher, tracking Wall Street gains overnight.
Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 rose 0.41% after hitting a fresh record high on Thursday, while the Topix added 0.61%. South...
Both the STOXX 50 and STOXX 600 hovered around the flatline on Friday, as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of further developments in trade talks between US President Trump and Chinese...
Poland rejected on Friday a suggestion by Donald Trump that Russian drone incursions into its airspace could have been a mistake, a rare contradiction of the U.S. president from one of Washington's...