Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
The dollar index rose above 107 on Friday, positioning it for a 1% gain for the week, marking its best weekly performance in a month. The gains came as markets had priced in a 25 basis point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next week, although the outlook for 2025 remains uncertain. Data released on Thursday showed the headline producer price index rose more than expected, while the core index slowed in line with forecasts. Additionally, initial jobless claims unexpectedly rose to a nearly two-month high of 242,000, well above the 220,000 anticipated. Markets are now pricing in...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) held firm against its US counterpart, lifting the USD/JPY pair near the 153.00 level, or a fresh monthly peak during the Asian session on Friday. Recent media reports suggested that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will not raise interest rates at its upcoming policy meeting next week, which in turn, further undermined the JPY. Moreover, expectations for a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) continued to support higher US Treasury bond yields and further weighed on the lower-yielding JPY. Meanwhile, the BOJ's quarterly Tankan survey released today showed that business...
The Australian Dollar (AUD) continued to weaken against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday. The threat of tariffs from the Trump administration has boosted the US Dollar (USD) across the board and created a headwind for the AUD/USD pair. Additionally, speculation about a potential 10% tariff on Chinese goods could drag the AUD lower as China has been Australia's largest trading partner. The AUD gained support after the release of mixed domestic employment data on Thursday. The seasonally adjusted Employment Change rose by 35,600, bringing the total number of employed people to 14,535,500 in...
Gold prices (XAU/USD) recovered from a dip to around $2,690 during Asian trading hours on Friday after falling from a five-week high in the previous session. All eyes will be on the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate decision next week. Gold purchases by central banks, including the People's Bank of China (PBOC), could provide some support to the yellow metal. China's central bank resumed gold purchases in November after a six-month hiatus, increasing its reserves to 72.96 million troy ounces. The move comes as Beijing signals a shift to a "moderately loose" monetary policy, with...
Oil is headed for a weekly gain as the prospect of tighter U.S. sanctions on Iran and Russia offset persistent concerns about a massive global oversupply next year. West Texas Intermediate is trading near $70 a barrel, up about 4% so far this week, while Brent closed above $73. President-elect Donald Trump's pick for national security adviser has vowed to return to "maximum pressure" on Iran, while the Biden administration is considering new sanctions on Russian oil trade before leaving the White House next month. The prospect of tougher penalties briefly sparked a bullish surge in the...
Oil prices fell slightly Thursday as a forecast for ample supply in the oil market offset optimism stemming from rising expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut. Brent crude futures fell 11 cents to close at $73.41 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures declined 27 cents to settle at $70.02. Both benchmarks rose by more than $1 on Wednesday. The International Energy Agency said it expected the oil market to be comfortably supplied next year, even as it revised its demand outlook for next year up slightly. OPEC cut its demand growth forecast for 2024 for the fifth straight...
Gold slipped over 1% on Thursday as investors booked profits after it briefly reached a five-week high earlier in the session and squared positions ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting next week. Spot gold lost 1.2% at $2,684.15 per ounce by 01:40 p.m. ET (1840 GMT), while U.S. gold futures settled 1.7% lower at $2,709.40. Bullion climbed to its highest level since Nov. 6 earlier in the session. Source: Reuters
Oil prices were little changed in Asian trade on Thursday as forecasts of weak demand and a higher-than-expected rise in U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories stemmed gains from an additional round of EU sanctions threatening Russian oil flows. Brent crude futures were up 14 cents at $73.66 a barrel at 0519 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 6 cents to $70.35. Both benchmarks rose over $1 each on Wednesday. OPEC cut its demand growth forecasts for 2025 for the fifth straight month on Wednesday and by the largest amount yet. "Investors will be closely monitoring the...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....