Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
Oil prices fell further on Tuesday as Chinese economic data renewed demand concerns, while investors remained cautious ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 11 cents at $70.60 a barrel by 0409 GMT, while Brent crude was down 6 cents at $73.85 a barrel. Prices were "weighed down by profit-taking after last week's 6% rally and a batch of disappointing Chinese economic data yesterday," said IG market analyst Tony Sycamore. Prices fell from multi-week highs on Monday on unexpectedly weak consumer spending data from China,...
Gold was steady around $2,650 an ounce on Tuesday ahead of a two-day Federal Reserve meeting, with investors eyeing the central bank's 2025 outlook. The Fed is widely expected to deliver a 25bps interest rate cut, but uncertainty remains about the extent of future easing, especially with the prospect of higher inflation under the incoming Trump administration. Recent data showed that U.S. private sector activity grew at a faster pace in December, suggesting the Fed may limit rate cuts next year, which could dampen demand for the precious metal. However, bullion has gained about 29% this...
The Australian dollar held steady around $0.637 on Tuesday, near its lowest level in a year as investors remained cautious ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision. The Fed is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, but may signal fewer cuts than previously indicated for 2025. At home, a private survey showed Australian consumer confidence fell in December, as sentiment turned more pessimistic about the economic outlook. Additionally, traders are awaiting the Australian government's update on its budget outlook, which is expected to show a...
EUR/USD posted a slow advance on Monday, moving to the upper end of a short-term consolidation just above the 1.0500 level, albeit with a lack of real conviction. European data is relatively limited this week, leaving Fiber traders to face a slew of important data on the US side. Markets largely ignored appearances by a number of European Central Bank (ECB) officials to start the new week. December European PMI figures beat expectations, but the Services PMI survey remained in contraction as concerns over a deepening economic slowdown in Europe continue to unsettle investors and...
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. crude benchmark, traded around $70.20 on Tuesday (12/17). WTI prices were flat as traders await the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate decision on Wednesday. However, concerns over sluggish global demand growth in China may cap the black gold's gains for the time being. China's Retail Sales in November came in slower than expected, raising concerns about weaker consumer spending in China. This, in turn, weighed on WTI prices as China is the world's largest oil importer. Data released by China's National Bureau of Statistics on Monday showed that...
Gold prices were steady on Tuesday as traders remained cautious ahead of interest rate decisions by major central banks, including the Federal Reserve. Bullion held steady near $2,650 an ounce, after posting modest gains in the previous session as investors digested mixed U.S. data. Activity at U.S. service providers expanded at the fastest pace since October 2021, while a gauge of New York state factory activity fell the most since May. The Fed makes its final interest rate decision of the year on Wednesday, followed by policy announcements in Japan and the U.K. this week. Swap markets...
The US Dollar (USD) is trading higher on Monday after spending most of its time in red numbers at the start of this week. The turnaround comes on the back of a very upbeat release in the preliminary S&P Global Services Purchase Managers Index (PMI) release for December. A print of 58.5 against the previous 56.1 and the concensus 55.7 is smashing it out of the park and is providing the needed tailwind for the Greenback to get out of its disappointing performance earlier this Monday. The first move on Monday was initiated after Chinese Retail Sales came in at 3.0% for November, below...
The dollar index edged above 107 on Monday, hitting a three-week high, as traders awaited the Fed's interest rate decision and assessed key economic data. The Fed is widely expected to cut the federal funds rate by another 25 basis points, but investors will be closely monitoring the latest economic projections, particularly the prospect of rate cuts by 2025, with markets currently pricing in just three cuts. On the data front, the S&P Global Flash PMI showed surprisingly strong growth in private sector activity this month led by a surge in services while the manufacturing downturn...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....