Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
The European Central Bank should keep its options open for a bigger rate cut next month and its policy rate could eventually fall to a level that once again stimulates growth, ECB policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Thursday. Financial market pricing indicates investors expect the central bank to lower borrowing costs by at least another quarter of a point at its next meeting on Dec. 12. Some market participants even expect a larger cut, as betting activity has shown in recent days. "Seen from today, there is every reason to cut on December 12. Optionality should remain open on...
The personal consumption expenditure price index in the US increased 0.2% month-over-month in October 2024, the same as in September and in line with expectations. Service prices rose by 0.4%, while goods prices decreased 0.1%. The core PCE index, excluding food and energy, rose 0.3%, also the same as in the previous month, as expected. Food prices were unchanged and energy prices decreased 0.1%. Annually, the PCE inflation rate edged higher to 2.3% from 2021-lows of 2.1%. The core rate rose to 2.8% from 2.7%. These increases in annual rates are influenced by base effects from the previous...
The number of Americans filing claims for unemployment benefits fell to 213,000 in the week ending Nov. 24, 2024. The figure was lower than the 215,000 estimate and lower than the previous weekly reading of 215,000, the Labor Department said Thursday. Source: @Newsmaker23
The Conference Board (CB) released its Consumer Confidence figures, a key indicator of the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. The actual reading came in at 111.7, just shy of the forecasted 111.8, marking a significant increase from the previous figure of 2.1. The Consumer Confidence index is a leading indicator, with the potential to predict consumer spending, a major player in overall economic activity. Higher readings indicate higher consumer optimism, making this recent figure a positive sign for the US economy. While the actual figure of 111.7 narrowly missed the...
The number of Americans filing claims for unemployment benefits fell to 213,000 in the week ending Nov. 17, 2024. The figure was lower than the 220,000 estimate and lower than the previous weekly reading of 217,000, the Labor Department said Thursday. Source: @Newsmaker23
US retail sales advanced in October, boosted by autos that masked more mixed performance elsewhere heading into the holiday season. The value of retail purchases, unadjusted for inflation, increased 0.4% after an upwardly revised 0.8% gain in September, Commerce Department data showed Friday. Excluding autos, sales edged up 0.1%. Source : Bloomberg
US producer prices picked up in October, fueled in part by gains in portfolio management and other categories that feed into the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. The producer price index for final demand increased 0.2% from a month earlier after rising a revised 0.1% in September, Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed Thursday. Compared with a year ago, the PPI rose 2.4%. The wholesale inflation data follow the more closely watched consumer price index, which showed on Wednesday that underlying inflation remained stubborn for a third month. While...
The number of Americans filing claims for unemployment benefits fell to 217K in the week ended Nov. 10, 2024. That was below the 224,000 estimate and below the previous weekly estimate of 221K the Labor Department said Thursday. Source: @Newsmaker23
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....