Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
China's consumer inflation shrank more than expected in November as recent stimulus measures did little to offset a stubborn deflationary trend, while producer inflation also contracted. Consumer price index inflation fell 0.6% month-on-month in November, government data showed on Monday. That was lower than expectations for a 0.4% decline and worse than the 0.3% contraction seen in the previous month. CPI grew 0.2% year-on-year, lower than expectations for a 0.5% gain and weaker than the 0.3% growth seen in the previous month. The figures suggest that while some aspects of China's...
The unemployment rate in the United States went up to 4.2% in November of 2024 from 4.1% in the prior month, in line with market expectations. The number of unemployed individuals increased by 161,000 to 7.145 million, while employment levels decreased by 355,000 to 161.141 million. Meanwhile, the labor force participation rate edged down to 62.5% from 62.6%, and the employment-population ratio fell to 59.8% from 60%. Source: Trading Economics
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the US rose by 227,000 in November, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Friday. This reading came in above the market expectation of 200,000.
The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits rose to 224,000 in the week ending Dec. 1, 2024. The figure was higher than the 215,000 estimate and higher than the previous weekly reading of 213,000, the Labor Department said Thursday. Source: @Newsmaker23
Private businesses in the US added 146K workers to their payrolls in November 2024, the least in three months, following a downwardly revised 184K rise in October, and slightly below forecasts of 150K. The service-producing sector added 140K jobs, led by education/health services (50K); trade/transportation/utilities (28K); professional/business services (18K); leisure/hospitality (15K); financial activities (5K) and information (4K). Meanwhile, the goods-producing sector added 6K jobs, of which 30K in construction and 2K in natural resources/mining while manufacturing shed 26K jobs....
The number of workers quitting jobs in the US rose to 3.326 million in October 2024, the highest in five months, from an upwardly revised 3.098 million in the previous month. The quit rate, a metric that measures workers voluntarily leaving their jobs as a proportion of total employment, increased to 2.1% from 1.9% in the previous month. Quits increased in the accommodation and food services sector (+90,000). Source: Trading Economics
The S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI was revised higher to 49.7 in November 2024 from a preliminary reading of 48.8, and compared with 48.5 in October, indicating a near-stabilization of the manufacturing sector. The rate of decline in new orders slowed sharply, while stronger confidence in the future prompted companies to add staff. However, output continued to be cut. Meanwhile, the rate of input cost inflation weakened further and was the slowest in a year. In contrast, output prices rose at a slightly faster pace. "Optimism about the year ahead has risen to an unprecedented level in...
Asia-Pacific markets started trading lower on Friday, with investors assessing November inflation figures from the Japanese capital, Tokyo, and industrial production figures from South Korea. Tokyo's headline inflation rate came in at 2.6% in November, up from 1.8% seen in October. Core inflation, which excludes fresh food costs, rose to 2.2% compared with a Reuters poll's expectation of 2.1%. Tokyo's inflation figures are widely seen as an indicator of national trends. Separately, South Korea's industrial production rose 2.3% year-on-year in October, reversing a 1.3% decline in...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....