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Oil gains after OPEC+ opts for modest output hike
Tuesday, 9 September 2025 01:45 WIB | OIL |brent oil

Oil prices increased on Monday, recovering some of last week's losses, after producer group OPEC+ opted for a modest output hike and investors priced in the possibility of more sanctions on Russian crude.

OPEC+ flagged plans to further increase production from October but the amount was less than some analysts had anticipated. Reuters reported earlier this month that members were considering another hike.

"The market had run ahead of itself in regard to this OPEC+ increase," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank. "Today we're seeing a classic sell the rumour, buy the fact reaction."

Brent crude climbed 48 cents, or 0.73%, to $65.98 a barrel by 12:53 p.m. EDT (1654 GMT), while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 39 cents, or 0.63% to $62.26 a barrel.

Both benchmarks had risen more than $1 earlier in Monday's session. Prices fell more than 2% on Friday as a weak U.S. jobs report dimmed the outlook for energy demand. They lost more than 3% last week.

OPEC+, which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia and other allies, agreed on Sunday to further raise oil production from October.

Saudi Arabia, the world's top oil exporter, cut the official selling price for the Arab Light crude it sells to Asia a day after OPEC+ producers agreed the output hike.

"Riyadh and its allies signaled a decisive pivot: defending market share now outweighs defending prices," Rystad Energy chief economist Claudio Galimberti said in a note on Monday.

By allowing supply back into a market moving toward surplus, OPEC+ is playing offense, not defense. Traders have been put on notice," he added.

OPEC+ has been increasing production since April after years of cuts aimed at supporting the oil market. The latest decision comes despite a likely looming oil glut in the Northern Hemisphere winter months.

The eight members of OPEC+ will lift production from October by 137,000 barrels per day. That, however, is much lower than increases of about 555,000 bpd for September and August and 411,000 bpd in July and June.

The impact of the latest increase is expected to be relatively low, because some members have been over-producing. So the higher output level would likely include barrels that are already in the market, analysts said.

OPEC on Monday released a compensation schedule from six of its members covering the period from last month and until June next year to make up for producing above their targets.

The schedule indicates that in total the members need to deliver monthly cuts ranging from 190,000 bpd to 829,000 bpd to comply with output targets.

Source: Investing.com

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