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Gold hits all-time high as US-China trade war escalates
Wednesday, 5 February 2025 05:18 WIB | GOLD |GOLD

Gold hits an all-time high of $2,845, gaining over 1% as trade war fears intensify safe-haven demand.
Chinese retaliatory tariffs on US goods and export controls amplify market uncertainties.
Upcoming Fed speeches may influence gold's trajectory, with potential hawkish shifts tempering gains
Gold reached a record high of $2,845 late Tuesday during the North American session as the US Dollar tumbled, weighed down by falling US Treasury bond yields. The "trade war" between the United States (US) and China sparked a flight to the yellow metal's safe-haven status. The XAU/USD trades at $2,843, up more than 1%.

Geopolitical issues are driving bullion prices. Although US President Donald Trump delayed tariffs on Mexico and Canada, duties of 10% on Chinese goods kicked in, sparking retaliatory actions by China.
China applied tariffs on specific products, such as coal, Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG), Crude Oil, farm equipment and electric trucks imported from the US. Additionally, it has decided to impose controls on exports of some metals, which are critical for electronics.

The escalation of the US-China trade war weighed on the Greenback, which, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY), fell 0.43%, below the 108.00 figure.

Therefore, the non-yielding metal is set to extend its rally, initially towards $2,850, ahead of the $2,900 figure.

However, Federal Reserve (Fed) speakers could cap Gold's advance if they become slightly hawkish. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said the Fed's job is not done on inflation, adding that the US economy is in a good place and the Central Bank is in a strong position to wait and see and assess tariffs' impact.

Gold price soars underpinned by falling US yields. US real yields, as measured by the 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), tumble almost six basis points (bps) down from 2.13% to 2.072%
The US 10-year Treasury bond yield falls four bps to 4.51%.

US Jobs Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data showed that job openings are decreasing, indicating a strong labor market. Job openings plunged to 7.6 million in December, revealing that the Department of Labor had decreased from November 8.156 million and was below forecasts of 8 million.
US Factory Orders fell -0.9% in December, below forecasts of a -0.7% contraction.
Money market fed funds rate futures are pricing in 48 basis points (bps) of easing by the Federal Reserve in 2025.(Cay) Newsmaker23

Source: Fxstreet

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