European markets moved into negative territory on Monday as last week's positive sentiment wears off. The pan-European Stoxx 600 provisionally ended the session 0.1% lower. It follows a record-breaking previous session where Europe's benchmark index hit a fresh intraday high of 588.07 points, as investors digested a swathe of interest rate decisions. Danish renewables giant Orsted fell sharply in late trading after the U.S. Department of the Interior said Monday it was suspending leases on five offshore wind projects already under construction. U.S. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum cited...
US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver a speech titled "Economic Outlook and Framework Review" at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on Friday at 14:00 GMT. Market participants will be closely watching Powell's speech for new clues on the direction of monetary policy, particularly regarding the timing of the Fed's first interest rate cut this year and the potential scope and timing of subsequent rate cuts. Powell's remarks are expected to roil markets, triggering intense volatility around the US dollar (USD), as the world's most influential central...
Fed Chair Powell's looming speech at the annual Jackson Hole symposium will be the next catalyst for the U.S. dollar moves, says Joe Capurso, an economist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. Still, don't expect Powell to give a clear signal in either direction. He is likely to keep his options open and wait for more data, Capurso says. But if Powell signals openness to an interest rate cut, expect the market to more fully price a September cut and the USD to fall modestly. A September cut is currently priced at about 70% which sets a high bar for Powell to 'out‑dove' the market, he...
Bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September have dropped significantly over the past week, as markets prepare for Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. Last week, traders were pricing in a 99 percent chance of a 25 bps rate cut at the next Fed meeting. That is now down to 71.5 percent, according to Investing.com's Fed Rate Monitor Tool. The drop comes amid hotter-than-expected producer inflation data and some hawkish commentary from some Fed members. After a modest 0.3% July CPI number last Tuesday, last Thursday's red-hot monthly PPI of...
The Fed held rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% for a fifth straight meeting, as expected, but two governors dissented in favor of a cut the first such dual dissent since 1993. Policymakers observed that, while fluctuations in net exports continue to influence the data, recent indicators point to a moderation in economic activity in H1 contrasting with earlier assessments that growth was proceeding 'at a solid pace'. The Fed also said that the unemployment rate remains low while inflation remains somewhat elevated, and uncertainty about the economic outlook persists. The Fed reinforced that...
According to the FOMC Minutes, the two Federal Reserve policymakers who disagreed with the central bank's decision to keep interest rates the same last month were not joined by other policymakers in calling for lower rates at that meeting. Key Quotes Almost all participants at the Fed's July 29–30 meeting viewed it as appropriate to maintain the benchmark interest rate in the 4.25%–4.50% range. Participants noted it would take time to have more clarity on the magnitude and persistence of higher tariffs' effects on inflation. Participants assessed the impact of tariffs had become more...