World oil prices rose on Tuesday (September 2nd), triggered by the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Brent and WTI surged after a Ukrainian drone attack crippled Russian oil processing facilities, which account for a significant portion of supply capacity. This situation sparked concerns about global supply disruptions and prompted investors to return to the energy market.
Although geopolitical sentiment lifted prices, the medium-term outlook remains clouded by a production surplus. Surging output from the United States and other producers is expected to create a supply glut of up to 1.8 million barrels per day through 2026, risking pushing Brent to the US$50s. Technically, indicators show a bullish trend with a "strong buy" signal, although prices are approaching overbought territory, potentially triggering a short-term correction.
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