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Thursday, 8 January 2026 22:55 WIB

Stephen Miran, a Federal Reserve governor whose term ends at the end of January, said Thursday that he is looking for 150 basis points of interest-rate cuts this year to boost the U.S. labor market. Miran told Bloomberg Television's Surveillance program that Fed officials had room to further reduce rates given his view that underlying inflation was likely running at 2.3%. "I'm looking for about a point and a half of cuts. A lot of that is driven by my view of inflation," Miran said. "Underlying inflation is running within noise of our target, and that's a good indication of where overall...

RECENT NEWS
Trump cannot fire Fed Governor Cook, appeals court rules
Tuesday, 16 September 2025 15:21 WIB | Fiscal

U.S. President Donald Trump cannot fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, an appeals court ruled on Monday, allowing her to remain on the central bank's board for a closely-watched policy meeting this week. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit in a 2-1 ruling denied the Department of Justice's request to hold an earlier ruling blocking Trump from removing Cook. Monday's ruling came just a week after a district judge also ruled against Cook's firing. U.S. District Judge Jia Cobb had last week ruled that Trump's allegations of mortgage fraud against Cook, which...

USD: Is fiscal dominance coming
Monday, 15 September 2025 19:12 WIB | Federal Reserve

After a nine-month pause, the US Federal Reserve is expected to resume its cycle of interest rate cuts this week. The big question is how far will it go? US President Trump has already made it clear that he wants to see cuts to a key interest rate of around 1% (from the current 4.25-4.50%), and probably as quickly as possible. Given the risk of stagflation in the wake of US tariffs, such a sharp easing of monetary policy would be disastrous for the US Dollar (USD), Commerzbank's Head of FX and Commodity Research Thu Lan Nguyen notes. Trump wants the Fed to help the Treasury finance the...

Fed faces key week of decisions with membership, political independence in doubt.
Monday, 15 September 2025 16:50 WIB | Federal Reserve

The U.S. Federal Reserve holds its latest policy meeting this week with a historic challenge to its leadership pending in the courts and a rushed effort underway to confirm President Donald Trump's nominee to fill an open seat on the central bank's Board of Governors. The Fed is confronting a potentially intense pace of change between Trump's attempted firing of Governor Lisa Cook and the Senate's move to approve his nominee for a separate open seat. The move against Cook is both a first-of-its-kind test of the Fed's independence but also potentially disruptive to how the central bank is...

Fed Meeting and U.S.-China Talks Drive Market Moves
Monday, 15 September 2025 15:16 WIB | Federal Reserve

The Fed will be in the spotlight this week, as markets are now all but certain that the central bank will slash interest rates at the end of its latest two-day gathering on Wednesday. Underpinned by signs of a softening U.S. labor market, policymakers are widely anticipated to back the first rate cut since an easing cycle was paused in December. Bringing down rates can, in theory, help spur investment and hiring. However, a reduction can risk pushing up inflationary pressures at the same time. Last week, a monthly U.S. consumer price index reading accelerated slightly due to an uptick in...

Fed hawks and doves: what US central bankers are saying
Saturday, 13 September 2025 02:21 WIB | The Fed

The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver its first interest-rate cut this year at its September 16-17 meeting, as it moves to counter a cooling labor market even as inflation remains above target. The anticipated quarter-point reduction may not satisfy President Donald Trump, who wants a bigger cut and has named his White House economic advisor, Stephen Miran, in time to be on the Fed Board at the September meeting, pending Senate confirmation. Here is a look at Fed officials' comments since their last policy meeting, sorting them under the labels "dove" and "hawk" as shorthand for their...

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FISCAL
BOJ Closer to Reaching 2% Inflation Target, Will Interest Rates Rise Again?
Thursday, 25 December 2025 12:00 WIB

Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that achieving 2% inflation is getting closer, although real inflation remains low. Ueda emphasized that the BOJ will continue to raise interest rates...

MONETARY
Australia Keeps Cash Rate As Expected
Tuesday, 1 April 2025 10:51 WIB

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its cash rate at 4.1% during its April meeting, holding borrowing costs unchanged after slashing 25 bps in the February meeting, aligning with market...