The Fed will meet on October 28-29, 2025. This meeting is crucial because the market still considers the possibility of an interest rate cut, but its direction will be heavily influenced by the September CPI (US inflation) release, which was rescheduled to Friday, October 24 due to the shutdown. Therefore, the Fed is really waiting for the data before making a decision.
In his last speech (October 14), Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the US economy was "stronger than expected," but the job market was weakening. This means the Fed remains cautious and will determine policy on a meeting-by-meeting basis. This is also because some official data is delayed due to the shutdown, so they don't want to overcommit before seeing the CPI this Friday.
The Fed has indicated a high probability of a rate cut at its October meeting, but the magnitude of the move and the certainty of its timing will be determined by the CPI results. Essentially, inflation figures remain key to sentiment ahead of the FOMC meeting.
Source: Newsmaker.id
Stephen Miran, a Federal Reserve governor whose term ends at the end of January, said Thursday that he is looking for 150 basis points of interest-rate cuts this year to boost the U.S. labor market. ...
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman outlined significant changes to bank supervision and regulation during a speech at the California Bankers Association Bank Presidents Seminar...
Further changes to the Federal Reserve's short-term interest rate will need to be "finely tuned" to incoming data given the risks to both the U.S. central bank's employment and inflation goals, Richmo...
Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Tom Barkin said the monetary policy outlook remains in a fragile balance given the conflicting pressures of rising unemployment and persistently high inflation....
The US Federal Reserve agreed to cut interest rates at its December meeting only after a highly nuanced debate about the current risks facing the US economy, according to minutes from the two-day meet...
Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more...
Gold prices weakened slightly on Thursday (February 12th), as more solid US employment data reduced market confidence in an imminent Federal Reserve interest rate cut. The strong employment data prompted market participants to shift expectations of...
The Hang Seng Index reversed its downward trend in Hong Kong on Thursday (February 12th), weakening by around 0.9% to around 27,000 after a strong session earlier. This decline halted the momentum of the short term rally, as investors began to...