Thursday, 04 September 2025
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
Fed's Waller wants July interest rate cut amid rising growth, job market risks
Friday, 18 July 2025 07:46 WIB | FISCAL & MONETARY |Fiskal & Moneter

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Thursday he continues to believe the U.S. central bank should cut interest rates at the end of this month amid mounting risks to the economy and the strong likelihood that tariff-induced inflation will not drive a persistent rise in price pressures.

"It makes sense to cut the FOMC's policy rate by 25 basis points two weeks from now," Waller told a gathering of the Money Marketeers of New York University.

"I see the hard and soft data on economic activity and the labor market as consistent: The economy is still growing, but its momentum has slowed significantly, and the risks to the (Federal Open Market Committee's) employment mandate have increased," and that justifies cutting rates, he said.

All the evidence suggests the Fed can look through the impact of tariffs and focus on other issues affecting the economy, he added.

The Fed's next policy meeting is scheduled for July 29-30.

Waller is one of two Fed officials who have expressed interest in cutting rates this month, reckoning the import tax surge will be a one-time event that policy makers can look through.

A July easing could be followed by more rate cuts, as the Fed no longer needs a monetary policy stance designed to slow the economy, Waller said, noting the Fed's interest rate target is well above the 3% officials consider its long-run level.

If underlying inflation remains in check and expectations of future price increases stay contained amid slow growth, "I would support further 25 basis point cuts to move monetary policy toward neutral," he said.

A neutral level rate is considered neither contractionary nor expansionary.

The last time the Fed cut rates was in December 2024, when it trimmed its policy rate by 25 basis points.

Waller warned that not easing this month could create issues down the road.

"If we cut our target range in July and subsequent employment and inflation data point toward fewer cuts, we would have the option of holding policy steady for one or more meetings," Waller said. But if economic weakness accelerated, "waiting until September or even later in the year would risk us falling behind the curve of appropriate policy," he said.

Fed policy is not on a preset course and decisions on where to set rates would be done meeting-by-meeting, he added.

Waller is one of the last central bank officials to weigh in on the economy as policy makers go into their customary quiet period ahead of the policy meeting at the end of this month.

Most central bank officials who have spoken have signaled no interest in changing the Fed's 4.25% to 4.5% interest rate target now as inflation remains above target, the economy is generally faring well, and it's unclear how much upward price pressure President Donald Trump's trade tariffs will create.

Financial markets are currently pricing in a September starting date for rate cuts and Fed officials penciled in two easings at their June meeting.

Waller stressed in recent remarks his interest in cutting rates soon was "not political." Waller is widely viewed as in the running to succeed Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who has been under regular attack from Trump for not cutting rates.

Source: Reuters

RELATED NEWS
Fed officials, worried about jobs, muse on rate-cut prospects...
Thursday, 4 September 2025 03:45 WIB

Several Federal Reserve officials who spoke on Wednesday said labor market worries continue to animate their belief that rate cuts still lie ahead for the central bank. "I've been clear that I think ...

Fed Governor Cook says mortgage 'contradictions' do not justify removal by Trump...
Wednesday, 3 September 2025 06:02 WIB

Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook on Tuesday laid out in greater detail her opposition to President Donald Trump's bid to remove her from office, saying it was too late to fire her for mortgage infor...

Fiscal jitters push Wall Street stocks down, European bond yields to multiyear highs...
Wednesday, 3 September 2025 02:02 WIB

Global stocks fell and long-dated bond yields in Europe hit multiyear highs on Tuesday as investors grew increasingly worried about the state of finances in countries around the world, while the dolla...

Hundreds of economists defend Lisa Cook, Fed's independence in open letter against Trump efforts...
Tuesday, 2 September 2025 23:34 WIB

Nearly 600 economists signed an open letter Tuesday warning that President Donald Trump's attempt to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook threatens the central bank's independence and erodes trust ...

Sept rate-cut seen as done deal but four key factors could stand in the way...
Friday, 29 August 2025 03:32 WIB

Markets are kicking around the idea of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, but Morgan Stanley isn't sure, warning that the odds may be closer to 50-50 despite widespread expectations. Strong econ...

LATEST NEWS
Silver Retreats From 14-Year High on Profit-Taking

Silver slipped 1% to around $40.7 per ounce on Thursday, easing from 14-year highs as investors locked in profits ahead of key US labor market releases. Precious metals have rallied in recent weeks as traders increased bets on Federal Reserve rate...

Hang Seng Index opens higher as tech and financial stocks rise

The Hang Seng Index opened up 145 points, or 0.57%, reaching 25,489 points. The National Enterprises Index gained 52 points, also up 0.57%, to stand at 9,102 points, while the Technology Index increased by 41 points, or 0.73%, to 5,725...

Aussie Dollar Holds Ground Amid Stronger Trade Data

The Australian dollar was little changed to around $0.654 on Thursday, holding its recent gains, supported by stronger-than-expected trade balance figures. Australia's goods trade surplus widened to AUD 7.31 billion in July, the largest in 17...

POPULAR NEWS
JOLTS Job Openings Expected To Decrease In July Ahead Of Important Nonfarm Payrolls Report
Wednesday, 3 September 2025 17:46 WIB

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) on Wednesday. This publication will provide...

European Stocks Kick Off September in the Green
Monday, 1 September 2025 14:57 WIB

European bourses opened September in positive territory, with both the STOXX 50 and STOXX 600 rising nearly 0.3% after modest gains in August....

Fiscal jitters push Wall Street stocks down, European bond yields to multiyear highs
Wednesday, 3 September 2025 02:02 WIB

Global stocks fell and long-dated bond yields in Europe hit multiyear highs on Tuesday as investors grew increasingly worried about the state of...

Content of President Trump's Publicly Released Speech
Wednesday, 3 September 2025 04:09 WIB

In his first press conference in a week, President Donald Trump dismissed rumors of his death circulating on social media. In a casual tone, Trump...