Markets are kicking around the idea of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, but Morgan Stanley isn't sure, warning that the odds may be closer to 50-50 despite widespread expectations. Strong economic indicators including solid GDP growth, healthy financial conditions, and low volatility stand in the way of a clear case for easing, the bank said in a recent report. Nominal GDP growth remains robust at over 5%, unemployment holds steady at 4.2%, and retail sales continue surpassing expectations, reflecting an economy far from needing stimulus, Morgan Stanley's economists said. "It cannot...
The rise in silver prices could be attributed to a weaker US Dollar (USD) amid lower Treasury yields. A weaker dollar generally boosts demand for dollar-denominated commodities like silver, making it more attractive to buyers using other currencies. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar against a basket of six major currencies, was trading around 103.80 with the 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields at 4.17% and 4.31%, respectively, at the time of writing. Silver prices may remain volatile as traders also brace for the upcoming monetary policy decision from...
EUR/USD surged around the key resistance of 1.0900 during the European session on Monday. The major currency pair surged as the US dollar (USD) slumped amid rising uncertainty ahead of the US presidential election on Tuesday and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on Thursday. The US dollar started the week on a bearish note, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling below 103.70 as market participants expected a tight race between former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris. The sharp sell-off in the US dollar came after the release of the Des...
The dollar slipped in Asia on Monday as investors braced for a potential pivot this week for the global economy as the United States chooses a new leader, and as it likely cuts interest rates again with major implications for bond yields. The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0884 but faces resistance around $1.0905, while the dollar fell 0.7% on the yen to 151.81 yen . The dollar index eased 0.1% to 103.79. Treasury futures rallied 10 ticks, recovering some of the losses suffered on Friday. Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump remain virtually tied in opinion polls and the...
EUR/USD retraces its recent losses from the previous session, trading around 1.0880 during Asian hours on Monday. The pair's upside can be attributed to a softer US Dollar (USD) after the release of weaker-than-expected US October Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. However, uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election could drive safe-haven flows, potentially limiting the upside of the EUR/USD pair. On Friday, data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) indicated that October's NFP increased by only 12,000, following a revised September gain of 223,000 (down from 254,000), which...
Harga minyak naik lebih dari $1 ditengah penundaan kenaikan produksi OPEC+ Oil prices rose by more than $1 in early trading on Monday after OPEC+ said on Sunday it would delay a planned December output hike by one month. Brent futures rose by $1.14 per barrel, or 1.56%, to $74.24 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also rose by $1.14 a barrel, or 1.64%, to $70.63. OPEC+, which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia and other allies, was due to increase output by 180,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. Source : Reuters
President Donald Trump said he would fire Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors if she does not resign her post over mortgage-fraud accusations from a top...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its cash rate at 4.1% during its April meeting, holding borrowing costs unchanged after slashing 25 bps in the February meeting, aligning with market...