Friday, 29 August 2025
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Friday, 29 August 2025 03:32 WIB

Markets are kicking around the idea of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, but Morgan Stanley isn't sure, warning that the odds may be closer to 50-50 despite widespread expectations. Strong economic indicators including solid GDP growth, healthy financial conditions, and low volatility stand in the way of a clear case for easing, the bank said in a recent report. Nominal GDP growth remains robust at over 5%, unemployment holds steady at 4.2%, and retail sales continue surpassing expectations, reflecting an economy far from needing stimulus, Morgan Stanley's economists said. "It cannot...

RECENT NEWS
USD/CHF weakens to 0.9025 area amid rising trade tensions, modest USD weakness
Thursday, 20 February 2025 13:15 WIB |

USD/CHF pair meets with some supply during the Asian session on Thursday and for now, seems to have snapped a three-day winning streak to the weekly top, around the 0.9055 area touched the previous day. Spot prices currently trade near the lower end of the daily range, around the 0.9025 region, and seem vulnerable to sliding further. US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he will announce tariffs on a number of products next month or even sooner. This fuels concerns about a global trade war and tempers investors' appetite for riskier assets, which is evident from a generally...

XAG/USD holds gains near $33.00 due to increased safe-haven appeal
Thursday, 20 February 2025 12:25 WIB | SILVER

Silver price receives support from global uncertainties following fresh tariffs from US President Donald Trump.The latest FOMC Meeting Minutes emphasized needing more time to assess multiple factors before considering any rate adjustments.The grey metal found support from strong industrial demand driven by electrification and manufacturing.Silver (XAG/USD) rebounds from recent losses recorded in the previous session, trading around $32.80 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Thursday. The grey metal gains momentum due to its safe-haven appeal remains strong amid global uncertainties. US...

The dollar index hovered around 107 on Thursday
Thursday, 20 February 2025 12:05 WIB | DOLLAR

The dollar index hovered around 107 on Thursday, struggling to find a clear direction as investors assessed the latest FOMC minutes and ongoing developments in trade policies. The minutes from the Federal Reserve's January meeting highlighted policymakers' focus on the need for more evidence of sustained disinflation, while also warning of inflation risks from potential shifts in trade, immigration, geopolitical disruptions, and strong household spending. The minutes echoed Chair Powell's previous statement that the Fed is in no hurry to cut rates further. In parallel, President Donald Trump...

Gold price trades with positive bias near record high on Trump's tariff threats
Thursday, 20 February 2025 11:26 WIB | GOLD

Gold price retains its bullish bias amid worries about Trump's tariffs and a global trade war.Sliding US bond yields weigh on the USD and lend additional support to the precious metal.The Fed's hawkish outlook could cap the XAU/USD pair amid slightly overbought conditions.Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session on Thursday and remains close to the record high touched the previous day. US President Donald Trump's fresh threat to impose tariffs on imported goods sparks concerns about a global trade war and continues to underpin demand for the safe-haven bullion....

Oil prices ease after report of US crude inventories rise
Thursday, 20 February 2025 11:14 WIB | Minyak Brent

Oil prices edged lower on Thursday after an industry report showed a build in U.S. crude stockpiles and as tariff concerns weighed on sentiment, falling back from gains made in the previous session on worries over supply disruptions in Russia. Brent futures were down 22 cents, or 0.29%, at $75.82 a barrel by 0135 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude dropped 30 cents, or 0.42%, to $71.95. The March contract expires on Thursday and the more active April contract eased 0.26% to $71.84. Oil prices held near a one-week high on Wednesday. Besides the higher U.S. inventories, import tariffs...

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FISCAL
Trump Says He'll Fire Fed's Cook If She Doesn't Resign
Saturday, 23 August 2025 00:41 WIB

President Donald Trump said he would fire Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors if she does not resign her post over mortgage-fraud accusations from a top...

MONETARY
Australia Keeps Cash Rate As Expected
Tuesday, 1 April 2025 10:51 WIB

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its cash rate at 4.1% during its April meeting, holding borrowing costs unchanged after slashing 25 bps in the February meeting, aligning with market...