Markets are kicking around the idea of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, but Morgan Stanley isn't sure, warning that the odds may be closer to 50-50 despite widespread expectations. Strong economic indicators including solid GDP growth, healthy financial conditions, and low volatility stand in the way of a clear case for easing, the bank said in a recent report. Nominal GDP growth remains robust at over 5%, unemployment holds steady at 4.2%, and retail sales continue surpassing expectations, reflecting an economy far from needing stimulus, Morgan Stanley's economists said. "It cannot...
USD/CHF remains under pressure for the fourth consecutive session, hovering around 0.8970 during Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The pair's decline is driven by a weaker US Dollar (USD), weighed down by disappointing US economic data, including last week's Jobless Claims and the S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). Traders continued evaluating the interest rate outlook, with the Federal Reserve (Fed) expected to maintain its current stance for an extended period, amid ongoing uncertainty about President Trump's economic policies.USD/CHF remains under pressure for the fourth...
The Australian Dollar (AUD) recovers its daily losses as the US Dollar (USD) weakens amid declining US Treasury yields on Tuesday. Investors eagerly anticipate Australia's monthly inflation report on Wednesday, as it's expected to offer crucial insights into the future course of monetary policy after the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) recent hawkish rate cut. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) injected CNY300 billion on Tuesday via the one-year Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF), maintaining the rate at 2%. Additionally, the PBOC injected CNY318.5 billion through seven-day reverse repos...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) reverses Asian session losses against its American counterpart, dragging the USD/JPY pair back below the 150.00 psychological mark in the last hour. Japan's Services Producer Price Index (PPI) released earlier this Tuesday underscores the view that rising wages are persuading firms to pass on higher labour costs through price hikes. This comes on top of Japan's strong consumer inflation figures and reaffirms bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike interest rates further, which, in turn, continues to underpin the JPY. Meanwhile, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks...
Gold price (XAU/USD) ticks lower during the Asian session on Tuesday and erodes a part of the previous day's gains to a fresh all-time peak. The US Dollar (USD) builds on the overnight bounce from its lowest level since December 10 and turns out to be a key factor undermining demand for the commodity. Apart from this, slightly overbought conditions on the daily chart further prompt traders to lighten their bullish bets around the precious metal, though the fundamental backdrop warrants some caution before placing aggressive bearish bets. Meanwhile, investors remain worried about the...
The dollar rose on Tuesday after falling to its lowest in more than two months at the start of the week, buoyed by safe-haven flows after U.S. President Donald Trump said tariffs on Mexico and Canada would proceed as planned. The stronger dollar in turn left the euro off a one-month high at $1.0461, with future gains in the single currency likely to hinge on how soon a coalition government can be formed in Germany following the election victory of the country's conservatives. Trump on Monday said that tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports are "on time and on schedule" despite efforts by...
President Donald Trump said he would fire Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors if she does not resign her post over mortgage-fraud accusations from a top...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its cash rate at 4.1% during its April meeting, holding borrowing costs unchanged after slashing 25 bps in the February meeting, aligning with market...