Investors cheered Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole address, which gave a green light to buy risky assets on the hope the central bank is ready to cut rates, but took his dovish message with a note of caution as they see a risk of stagflation ahead and worry markets are over-optimistic. In his final address as Fed chair at the Jackson Hole, Wyoming, economic symposium, Powell hinted at a September interest rate cut but stopped short of committing, striking a careful balance between mounting job-market risks and lingering inflation worries. The speech on Friday came amid...
The United Kingdom (UK) Consumer Price Index (CPI) edged higher by 2.6% on a yearly basis in November after recording a 2.3% growth in October, according to the data released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on Wednesday. Data aligned with the market forecast of 2.6% and stayed well above the Bank of England's (BoE) 2.0% target. Core CPI (excluding volatile food and energy items) rose by 3.5% YoY in November, compared to a 3.3% increase in October while missing the market consensus of 3.6%. The UK November Services CPI inflation stayed unchanged at 5.0% YoY in November.The UK...
Retail sales rose faster than expected at the start of the holiday shopping season in November, pointing to steady growth in the U.S. economy. Sales at U.S. retailers rose 0.7% last month, the government said Tuesday. Retail sales account for about a third of all consumer spending and provide clues to the strength of the economy. What they do show is that the U.S. is ending 2024 on a strong note. Economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.5% gain last month. Key details: Sales of new cars and trucks jumped 2.6% in November to lead the retail gain. Auto sales account...
Inflation in the US, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose to 2.7% on a yearly basis in November from 2.6% in October, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Wednesday. This reading came in line with the market expectation. On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 0.3% following the 0.2% increase recorded in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 3.3% on a yearly basis to match October's increase and analysts' estimate. The monthly core CPI rose 0.3% in November. Market reaction to US inflation data These figures don't...
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for November, a key measure of inflation, is due out on Wednesday at 13:30 GMT by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Markets are eagerly awaiting the release, as it could trigger significant swings in the US Dollar (USD) and influence the Federal Reserve's (Fed) plans for interest rates in the coming months. As per the CPI measure, US inflation is expected to rise at an annualized rate of 2.7% in November, slightly higher than the 2.6% growth reported in the previous month. Annual core CPI inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy...
President-elect Donald Trump has already signaled that trade tariffs are likely to form part of his political agenda, but against concerns that a tit-for-tat U.S.-EU trade spat could threaten a fresh wave of inflation, Citi argues that tariffs may prove deflationary in the Eurozone at a time when the economy is in the doldrums. "Even if the EU retaliates like-for-like with reciprocal tariffs, the HICP impact is likely negligible," Citi economists said in a recent note. Imports from the U.S. make up just over 10% of euro area goods imports, a quarter of which is energy but this is unlikely...
President Donald Trump said he would fire Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors if she does not resign her post over mortgage-fraud accusations from a top...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its cash rate at 4.1% during its April meeting, holding borrowing costs unchanged after slashing 25 bps in the February meeting, aligning with market...