Investors cheered Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole address, which gave a green light to buy risky assets on the hope the central bank is ready to cut rates, but took his dovish message with a note of caution as they see a risk of stagflation ahead and worry markets are over-optimistic. In his final address as Fed chair at the Jackson Hole, Wyoming, economic symposium, Powell hinted at a September interest rate cut but stopped short of committing, striking a careful balance between mounting job-market risks and lingering inflation worries. The speech on Friday came amid...
US Treasury bonds appear to have taken some comfort today from the Supreme Court ruling that the Fed's unique structure can protect its board members from potential presidential removal, Rabobank FX analyst Jane Foley reports. Closing of USD shorts for 1 to 3 months cannot be ruled out "This would ease any potential credibility issues for the Fed which would dampen inflation concerns, at least until the end of Chairman Powell's term. Nonetheless, the USD weakness this week suggests that investors continue to re-evaluate what ‘US exceptionalism' means. For a number of years, the ‘buy...
U.S. President Donald Trump threatened once again on Friday to ramp up his trade war, recommending a 50% tariff on European Union goods starting June 1 and warning Apple (AAPL.O), opens new tab he may impose a 25% tariff on any iPhones manufactured outside the U.S. The twin threats, delivered via social media, roiled global markets after weeks of de-escalation had provided some reprieve. The S&P 500 fell 0.9% in early trading, the Nasdaq fell 1.5%, and European shares fell 1.1%. Trump's latest broadside against the EU stemmed from his frustration at the lack of progress in trade talks...
The United Kingdom (UK) Retail Sales jumped 1.2% month-over-month (MoM) in April after advancing 0.1% in March (revised from 0.4%), the latest data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed Friday. Markets expected a 0.2% rise in the reported month. The core Retail Sales, stripping the auto motor fuel sales, rose 1.3% MoM, compared to the previous revised growth of 0.2% and the estimated 0.3% reading. The annual Retail Sales in the UK climbed 5.0% in April versus March's 1.9%, while the core Retail Sales also grew 5.3% in the same month versus 2.6% previous revision....
Beijing and Washington maintained high-level contact with a call on Thursday between U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau and China's Executive Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu, signaling ongoing communication following their recent trade truce. According to the U.S. State Department, the two officials "discussed a wide range of issues of mutual interest" and "exchanged thoughts on crucial issues," though no specifics were provided. Both sides underscored the importance of the bilateral relationship and agreed to keep lines of communication open. The call comes amid renewed...
Britain's consumers turned a bit more confident in May, according to a survey published on Friday that might reflect the impact of falling interest rates and an easing of global trade tensions. Market research firm GfK's consumer confidence index rose to -20 in May from -23 in April, led by more optimism among households over the outlook for their finances and the wider economy. A Reuters poll of economists had pointed to a smaller increase to -22. Neil Bellamy, consumer insights director at GfK, said consumers may have breathed a sigh of relief from the Bank of England's May 8 interest...
President Donald Trump said he would fire Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors if she does not resign her post over mortgage-fraud accusations from a top...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its cash rate at 4.1% during its April meeting, holding borrowing costs unchanged after slashing 25 bps in the February meeting, aligning with market...