Thursday, 30 October 2025
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
IMF says US economy showing strains; tariffs pose some risks to inflation
Friday, 12 September 2025 01:25 WIB | ECONOMY |Ekonomi Global

The U.S. economy is showing some strains after years of resilience, with domestic demand moderating and job growth slowing, the International Monetary Fund said on Thursday.

IMF spokesperson Julie Kozack said inflation was on a path to meet the Federal Reserve's 2% target, but there were some risks that could push it higher, largely as a result of tariffs imposed on imports by the Trump administration.

"What we've seen over the past few years is that the U.S. economy has proven to be quite resilient. We do see now that some strains are beginning to show," she told a regular briefing. "Domestic demand has been moderating in the U.S., and job growth is slowing."

Kozack said the front-loading of imports early in the year in anticipation of tariffs had caused some volatility in economic activity in the first half, and tariffs were now adding to inflation risks.

As a result of the combined factors, she said, the IMF saw scope for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, although it should proceed cautiously, with an eye on emerging data.

She told a regular briefing that a downward revision in U.S. employment data announced on Tuesday was a "bit larger" than the historical average.

The U.S. government said 911,000 fewer jobs were likely created in the 12 months through March than previously estimated, suggesting that job growth was stalling before President Donald Trump's aggressive tariffs on imports.

Such revisions could be driven by a variety of factors, including statistical issues and some related to response and survey errors, she said, adding the issue would be discussed during the scheduled IMF review of the U.S. economy in November.

The Labor Department's inspector general on Wednesday said it was initiating a review of challenges that the Bureau of Labor Statistics faces in collecting and reporting U.S. economic data after it made large downward revisions to nonfarm payrolls and cut its inflation data collection.

Earlier sharp downgrades to May and June payroll figures angered Trump, prompting him to fire BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer and accuse her, without evidence, of faking the data. Trump has nominated E.J. Antoni, chief economist at the conservative Heritage Foundation, to replace her.

Kozack refused to be drawn on the credibility of U.S. data, saying only that the IMF strongly advocated for accurate, timely and reliable data from all its members.

"This kind of data transparency strengthens the credibility of economic management in all countries," she said.

Source: Investing.com

RELATED NEWS
Breaking News: ECB Holds Key Interest Rates in October as Expected ...
Thursday, 30 October 2025 20:23 WIB

The European Central Bank (ECB) announced on Thursday (October 30th) that it kept its key interest rates unchanged after its October policy meeting, as expected. This decision leaves the main refinanc...

US S&P Global Composite PMI improves to 54.8 in October ...
Friday, 24 October 2025 21:21 WIB

Business activity in the United States' (US) private sector expanded at a healthy pace in October, with the S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) improving to 54.8 in the flash est...

US CPI Rises 3% For September Report...
Friday, 24 October 2025 19:50 WIB

The annual inflation rate in the US rose to 3% in September 2025, the highest since January, from 2.9% in August and below forecasts of 3.1%. The energy index increased 2.8% and the food index increas...

Trump ends all trade negotiations with Canada...
Friday, 24 October 2025 14:52 WIB

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Thursday that all trade negotiations with Canada have been terminated, accusing Ottawa of using a "fraudulent" advertisement involving late President Ronald Reagan....

China confirms US trade talks to be held in Malaysia from Friday...
Thursday, 23 October 2025 15:16 WIB

Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng is set to meet U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer from Friday, as the world's two largest economies try to ease an unexpected ...

LATEST NEWS
Breaking News: ECB Holds Key Interest Rates in October as Expected

The European Central Bank (ECB) announced on Thursday (October 30th) that it kept its key interest rates unchanged after its October policy meeting, as expected. This decision leaves the main refinancing operations rate, the marginal lending...

The US Dollar Index (DXY) Strengthens Above 99.00 Amid Trade Deal And Fed Hawkishness

The US dollar traded higher for the second consecutive day against a basket of currencies. The greenback strengthened sharply on Wednesday, following hawkish comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, extending its gains to the 99.25 area in...

Gold Jumps 2% on Fed Rate Cut, Investors Eye US-China Trade Talks

Gold prices jumped 2% on Thursday (December 30th), driven by a weaker dollar following the Fed's interest rate cut and as investors remained uncertain about the outcome of a trade deal between the presidents of the world's two largest...

POPULAR NEWS
Asian Stocks Gain on AI, Now Awaiting the Fed
Wednesday, 29 October 2025 07:34 WIB

Asian stock markets opened higher on Wednesday (October 29th), buoyed by positive sentiment from Wall Street. Investors are confident that the...

Is Europe Still Bullish or Starting to Be Cautious?
Tuesday, 28 October 2025 14:50 WIB

The European session on Tuesday, October 28, 2025, opened on a more cautious note. After consecutive rallies and a new record on the STOXX 600...

European Stocks See Slight Correction!
Wednesday, 29 October 2025 15:01 WIB

European stocks weakened slightly on Wednesday (October 29, 2025), after several consecutive days of record highs. The STOXX 600 index fell by...

Fed poised to cut rates this week, with more easing likely on tap
Monday, 27 October 2025 23:10 WIB

Federal Reserve policymakers are widely expected to reduce U.S. short-term borrowing costs this week by a quarter of a percentage point for the...