Gold prices briefly caused a stir after hitting a new record, but then slowed. The main trigger: US President Donald Trump withheld the threat of tariffs on Europe and claimed there was a "framework" for a future agreement on Greenland. This calmer tone made the market a little more willing to take risks, thus easing the pressure to buy gold as a safe haven. However, the big picture hasn't changed: gold remains in high territory because the world remains filled with uncertainty. Trade wars could resurface at any time, geopolitical tensions haven't completely subsided, and investors are...
The Australian dollar weakened slightly on Thursday after strengthening in the previous session. The AUD/USD pair still has room to recover as the US dollar faces pressure following weaker-than-expected US PPI data, which reinforced expectations of Fed easing in September. Domestically, the AUD received support as solid Australian data reduced expectations for further interest rate cuts by the RBA. The swap market now rates an ~86% chance of the RBA holding rates this month. Australian Consumer Inflation Expectations rose to 4.7% in September from 3.9% in August, reflecting stronger...
Silver held around $41/oz, near a 14-year peak, as the market awaited the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which could determine the size of the Fed's interest rate cut next week. Wednesday's US Consumer Price Index (PPI) data fell 0.1% month-on-month (July revised down from +0.7%), missing the +0.3% forecast. Market participants had already priced in a 25 bps cut, with a 50 bps chance of around 8%. Safe haven demand also supported after President Donald Trump pushed the EU to consider tariffs of up to 100% on China and India to pressure Russia. On the industrial side, demand for...
The US dollar held steady early in the Asian session after the PPI data fell 0.1% in August, reinforcing expectations that the Fed would cut interest rates next week. The Dollar Index edged up to 97.822, marking a third consecutive day of gains. The market now awaits the release of the US CPI later tonight (WIB) for confirmation of its next direction. Market participants consider a 25 bps cut at the September 16-17 meeting almost certain. The chance of a 50 bps cut is only around 8%. Analysts' comments suggest the "benign" PPI result is in line with market pricing, shifting focus to the CPI...
Gold held steady just below its record, around $3,645/oz, after an unexpected decline in US producer prices (PPI) fueled hopes of Fed policy easing. The market now awaits the release of US CPI data Thursday evening (WIB) for confirmation of the next direction. Current market expectations price a 25 bps price cut at the Fed's September 16-17 meeting as the main scenario, with a larger cut seen as less likely. Gold's sensitivity is high: cooler inflation data typically weakens the dollar/yields and supports bullion prices. Performance-wise, gold has gained ~38–39% through 2025, driven by...
GBP/USD tested the 1.3550 area again for the fourth consecutive day on Wednesday, but has so far been unable to break higher. The market is likely to remain cautious ahead of the release of US consumer inflation (CPI) data on Thursday, which could be the next driver for the dollar and pound. On the producer side, US PPI inflation cooled faster than expected in August. Core PPI fell to 2.8% YoY from 3.5% previously, boosting market expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates on September 17. The PPI reflects domestic price pressures because it excludes imported goods. However, price...
Global oil prices stabilized after three consecutive days of gains. The market weighed US President Donald Trump's latest comments on Russia and the possibility of punitive measures for the war in Ukraine. Trump's tweet questioning the Polish airspace violation incident triggered a brief price spike due to the closing of short positions. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) prices hovered around $64 per barrel on Thursday, after rising 1.7% in the previous session. Brent held above $67 per barrel, indicating continued positive sentiment despite market caution. Trump also told European Union...
Gold price surges on Wednesday, up by over 0.60%, folllowing US inflation data, which increased speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its easing cycle at the upcoming September meeting. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $3,646, shy of the record high of $3,674. Bullion up 0.60% fueled by Fed cut bets, Middle East tensions and Russian drone incursion into Poland's airspace The Producer Price Index (PPI) in August revealed that the disinflation process resumed in August, as businesses seem to absorb some of the US President Donald Trump's tariffs, in exchange for...
The Swiss Franc (CHF) strengthens modestly against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, with USD/CHF trimming intraday gains as the Greenback softens after softer-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) figures further cemented market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates at its monetary policy meeting next week. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF pair is trading around 0.7973 during the American session, easing from an intraday high of 0.7991 as buyers failed to secure a decisive move above the psychological 0.8000 mark. The loss of upward momentum reflects...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....