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Thursday, 12 February 2026 19:28 WIB

Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...

RECENT NEWS
USD/JPY surges as Risk-On Sentiment Weighs on Safe-Haven Yen
Tuesday, 13 May 2025 04:57 WIB | JAPAN

The USD/JPY pair is trading near 148.00, up approximately 2% on the day, as risk-on sentiment dominates global markets following a significant breakthrough in US-China trade relations. Over the weekend, the two economic giants agreed to a 90-day tariff reduction, with the US cutting its tariffs on Chinese imports to 30% (from 145%) and China reducing its duties to 10% (from 125%). This temporary de-escalation has sparked a rally in risky assets, weighing on traditional safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen. The US Dollar has surged in response to the trade truce, supported by a sharp...

Australian Dollar under pressure as US-China trade talks shape global sentiment
Tuesday, 13 May 2025 03:38 WIB | AUD/USD,

The Australian Dollar (AUD) is facing downward pressure as global trade dynamics shift, particularly between the United States (US) and China. Despite signs of stronger Chinese copper production, trade agreements and Federal Reserve (Fed) policies continue to shape investor sentiment, with the Fed expected to hold rates steady through the next few months. USD surges as trade war coolsThe US Dollar gains as the DXY approaches key resistance levels after news of a 90-day tariff pause between the US and China.China's copper production shows signs of expansion, alleviating concerns about global...

Gold price plunges over $100 as US-China deal fuels USD rally
Tuesday, 13 May 2025 01:48 WIB | GOLD

Gold prices tumbled over 3% on Monday, following improvements in risk appetite after weekend discussions between the US and China, which agreed to a 90-day tariff reduction. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD trades at $3,225, having hit a daily high of $3,326. Wall Street registers gains in the aftermath of the US-China deal, in which both countries lowered duties and agreed to sustain further talks to reach a trade agreement following a meeting in Switzerland. Washington and Beijing agreed to lower duties from 145% to 30% and from 125% to 10%, respectively, as revealed in a joint...

Dollar jumps after China-US truce allays growth fears
Monday, 12 May 2025 22:59 WIB | DOLLAR

The dollar surged on Monday as the United States and China reached a deal to temporarily cut reciprocal tariffs, easing concerns a trade war between the world's two biggest economies could lead to a global recession. The U.S. will reduce extra tariffs it imposed on Chinese imports in April to 30% from 145% and Chinese duties on U.S. imports will fall to 10% from 125%, effective for 90 days. The de-escalation surpassed investor expectations, with many expecting an introductory round of talks with few, if any, agreements. "It's 90 days and so this basically buys some more time, I sort of...

Brent Crude Oil surges on US–China agreement and easing recession fears
Monday, 12 May 2025 22:48 WIB | brent oil

Brent Crude Oil has extended gains at the start of the trading week, buoyed by a temporary easing in geopolitical tensions and improving macroeconomic sentiment. As of publication time, Brent is trading at approximately $65.40 per barrel, marking a 2.37% gain on the day. The move follows an agreement between the United States (US) and China to reduce and suspend certain tariffs for a 90-day period—an initiative widely seen as a de-escalation of trade hostilities and a potential catalyst for global economic stabilization. The bilateral tariff truce is currently the principal driver of risk...

Gold unable to recover from earlier drop after US-China agree to major tariff cut
Monday, 12 May 2025 19:43 WIB | GOLD

Gold (XAU/USD) sinks more than 3.0% at the start of the European trading session and heads towards $3,231 at the time of writing as after US and China have brought some low-hanging fruit for the equity markets. China has agreed to lower its tariffs on the United States (US) to 10% from the initial 125%, while the US will lower its tariffs on China to 30% from 145%, both for 90 days. The announcement caused a risk-on wave in markets, with investors fleeing from safe-haven assets such as Gold. US President Donald Trump on Friday already hinted at the possibility that the talks could be...

US Dollar holds near one-month high on US-China deal to temporarily lower tariffs
Monday, 12 May 2025 19:31 WIB | DOLLAR

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, exceeds a more than 1% rally on Monday after China and the United States (US) agreed to a 90-day pause in their trade war by slashing tariffs on both sides. After a weekend of discussion, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced the defusing of the trade war between the two nations: China will lower its tariffs on US goods to only 10% from the original 125%, while the US will do so to 30% (from 145%) on Chinese goods, both for 90 days, Bloomberg reports. The news sent the US...

Oil Rallies on U.S.-China Truce -- Market Talk
Monday, 12 May 2025 19:15 WIB | Oil,

Crude futures extend gains in afternoon trade after a U.S.-China deal eased concerns over a deepening trade war that has threatened global economic growth and oil demand. Brent climbs 3.8% to $66.35 a barrel, while WTI jumps 4.1% to $63.50 a barrel. After weekend talks in Geneva, the world's top consumers of crude agreed to temporarily slash punishing levies on each other while trade negotiations continue. However, "questions remain for markets as to what the end game will be, as the measure will be operational for 90 days, and what the eventual level of tariffs will be," ING analysts...

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PRECIOUS METALS
Gold Rises Amid Macro Uncertainty, Other Tailwinds
Tuesday, 7 October 2025 07:10 WIB

Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...

ENERGY
Oil Drops as Larger OPEC+ Supply Increase Raises Glut Concerns
Monday, 7 July 2025 09:54 WIB

Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook. Brent...

CURRENCIES
Japanese Yen reverses part of Friday's gains against USD
Monday, 18 November 2024 10:28 WIB

The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....