The EUR/USD pair is posting marginal gains ahead of the US Session opening on Tuesday as the US Dollar retreats further with trade uncertainty growing. Meanwhile, a rather positive Lending survey from the European Central Bank (ECB), released earlier on the day, has provided additional support to the common currency. The Euro (EUR) has turned positive on the daily chart and returned above the 1.1700 level. The pair remains above Friday's high, at 1.1675, and also above the top of a bearish channel from July 1 highs, which suggests that further appreciation is likely. The ECB's survey...
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar against a basket of six major currencies, weakened slightly and traded around 107.30 at the time of writing on Monday (27/1) despite some safe-haven inflows earlier during the Asian session. Markets were spooked after US President Donald Trump threatened to impose 50% tariffs on Colombian imports after the country refused to accept immigrants deported from the US over the weekend. Traders are now reassessing their earlier dovish stance on tariffs as it seems clear that tariffs will be used more as a leverage tool. On...
Gold (XAU/USD) prices fell below $2,770 at the time of writing on Monday (1/27) after a weekend full of headlines and a busy week of central bank interest rate decisions coming up. Over the weekend, markets understood why US President Donald Trump has been loosening up on the use of tariffs as a tool. It appears that tariffs will be used as leverage, for example, for countries that refuse to accept deported US immigrants who are being taken back to their home countries. Colombia felt the impact on Sunday when President Trump ordered emergency tariffs of 25%, and increased to 50% within a...
WTI crude futures were fluctuating around $74.8 a barrel on Monday as markets reacted to the Trump administration's trade policy shift. The U.S. initially threatened tariffs on Colombia over a migrant dispute but stopped short of doing so after Bogotá agreed to President Trump's terms. The move follows a series of global trade actions targeting China, Canada, Mexico and the EU, alongside calls for OPEC to lower oil prices. Trump has argued that lower oil prices could hurt Russia's revenues and curb its actions in Ukraine. Meanwhile, signs of slowing economic activity in China, the world's...
USD/JPY edged lower, tracking lower UST yields while the BoJ MPC (last Friday) signaled continued policy normalization. The currency pair was last seen at 154.05, OCBC FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong noted. "Japanese economic data supports BoJ policy normalization. Wage growth pressures remain intact, along with broadening services inflation. Tokyo core CPI, PPI, wages rose while labor market reports also showed upward wage pressure with the unemployment rate easing, while unions called for another 5-6% wage hike in the shunto wage negotiations for 2025." "We still expect...
This weekend the US successfully used the threat of tariffs on Colombia to secure its policy objective of deporting illegal immigrants. The use of tariffs as a policy lever now appears well understood by the market and may be worth it to reduce marginal volatility, notes ING FX analyst Chris Turner. "FX markets are still operating on the potential 1 February deadline for tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China – and that should prevent the dollar from correcting too much this week. Instead, focus may shift back to the macro side given a slew of central bank rate meetings, Q4 GDP data and some...
Gold (XAU/USD) recovered most of its intraday losses and traded with a mild negative bias, around the $2,760 area during the first half of the European session on Monday (1/27). US President Donald Trump's decision to impose tariffs on all imports from Colombia revived trade war fears and triggered a fresh wave of global risk-off trade. Additionally, falling US Treasury bond yields, amid bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates twice this year, provided additional support to the non-yielding yellow metal. That said, a decent recovery in the US Dollar (USD) from over...
EUR/USD corrected near 1.0450 in the European session on Monday (1/27) after hitting a six-week high near 1.0520 on Friday. The major currency pair faced pressure as the US Dollar (USD) started the week on a positive note amid risk-averse market sentiment. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of six major currencies, attempted to recover from last week's losses and surged near 107.75. The US Dollar's safe-haven appeal has been boosted as US President Donald Trump's tariff concerns have returned. Trump imposed a 25% tariff on South American trading partner...
The GBP/USD pair remains under selling pressure near 1.2450 during the early European session on Monday (1/27). Renewed US Dollar (USD) demand amid safe-haven flows dragged the major lower. According to the 4-hour chart, the bullish outlook for GBP/USD is in place as the major is above the key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The upside momentum is reinforced by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is above the midline around 64.70, suggesting that further upside appears favorable. On the upside, immediate resistance is seen in the 1.2500-1.2510 region, which represents the...
Gold (XAU/USD) is extending its decline on Wednesday for a second consecutive day as the US Dollar (USD) and US Treasury yields firm ahead of the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....