Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday said his administration had completed a "massive deal" with Japan, which will see the Asian country subject to a 15% tariff on exports. Trump said that Japan will invest $550 billion into the U.S., of which the U.S. will "receive 90% of the Profits." "Japan will open their Country to Trade including Cars and Trucks, Rice and certain other Agricultural Products, and other things. Japan will pay Reciprocal Tariffs to the United States of 15%," Trump said in a social media post. Announcement of the deal comes shortly after reports said Japan's top...
US President Donald Trump seized the opportunity to lash out at Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday during a meeting with Philippine President Bongbong Marcos. After spending weeks normalizing the White House by publicly criticizing the Fed and attempting to undermine the US central bank's political autonomy, President Trump is working hard to justify his efforts to circumvent US laws that prevent him from having a say in who runs the Fed and what they do. Donald Trump nominated Jerome Powell to take over the Fed's top job in 2018 and has been very vocal about his displeasure...
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has lent his support to Jerome Powell amid regular attacks from Trump administration officials, saying he sees no reason for the Federal Reserve chairman to resign. "Nobody is telling me he should resign now," Bessent said of the US central bank chief, speaking Tuesday on Fox Business. "His term ends in May. If he wants to continue, I think he should. If he wants to leave early, I think he should." Powell has been criticized by President Donald Trump for months for leading the Fed on hold, refusing to continue rate cuts last year due to concerns about the...
Foreign investors are increasingly uneasy about U.S. monetary policy after President Donald Trump's public criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, according to Yardeni Research. Though Trump recently said it was "highly unlikely" he would fire Powell, Yardeni noted the president also added, "I don't rule out anything," leaving markets jittery. "We don't believe President Trump will fire Powell," Yardeni wrote, "but, just in case, we examine the credibility crisis that could ensue if he does." Officials in Tokyo and Beijing reportedly view Powell's ouster as more of a "when" than...
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Tuesday that he will meet his Chinese counterpart next week and discuss what is likely to be an extension of an August 12 deadline for higher tariffs. Bessent told Fox Business that trade with China was in "a very good place" and the meetings in Stockholm would take place next Monday and Tuesday. "I think we've actually moved to a new level with China, where it's very constructive and very we're able we're going to be able to get a lot of things done now that trade has kind of settled in at a good level," Bessent said Source: Investing.com
The European Union appears to be considering whether to deploy its "Anti-Coercion Instrument" characterized as a "nuclear option" to try to deter trade disputes — as the threat of a 30% tariff on EU imports looms large. A number of EU member states, including France and Germany, are reportedly considering using "anti-coercion" measures targeting the U.S. if the bloc cannot reach a trade deal with U.S. President Donald Trump, EU diplomats told Reuters this week. The measures could see the EU restrict U.S. suppliers' access to the EU market, excluding them from participation in public...
Indonesia's sovereign wealth fund, Danantara, plans to sign a USD 8 billion engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) contract with US engineering firm KBR Inc. to build 17 modular refineries, according to two sources familiar with the matter and an official presentation by the Economic Ministry, as reported by Reuters. The contract is part of a trade pact reached last week between Indonesia and the US, which resulted in a reduction of proposed US tariffs, from 32% down to 19%. Indonesia's Economic Minister, Airlangga Hartarto, who served as chief negotiator for the deal, revealed...
A 19% U.S. tariff on Indonesian exports could take effect earlier than the previously expected August 1 deadline, Indonesia's chief economic minister Airlangga Hartarto said Monday. The exact timing hinges on a forthcoming joint statement between the two countries. The tariff threat stemmed from a recent trade dispute, but following negotiations last week, President Trump agreed to lower the proposed tariff rate from 32% to 19%. As part of the deal, Indonesia has committed to purchasing USD 15 billion in U.S. energy, USD 4.5 billion in agricultural products, and 50 Boeing aircraft. In...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....