Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
The UK economy fared better than expected in the second quarter, bringing some relief for Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves but raising the bar to further interest-rate cuts from the Bank of England. Gross domestic product rose 0.3%, the Office for National Statistics said Thursday, beating the 0.1% forecast by both private-sector economists and the Bank of England. Output in June alone gained 0.4% — double expectations — following modest declines in the previous two months. The figures suggest the economy held up during what always expected to be a difficult...
Employment in Australia increased by 24,500 to a record peak of 14.64 million in July 2025, sharply picking up from a downwardly revised 1,000 rise in the previous month but slightly below market consensus of a 25,000 gain. Full-time employment surged 60,500 to a record peak of 10.13 million, swinging from a downwardly revised 36,700 gain in June. However, part-time employment declined by 35,900 to 4.52 million, erasing a downwardly revised 37,600 increase in June. The employment-to-population ratio edged up to 64.2%, with the participation rate steady at 67.1%. Year-on-year, total...
Australia will release its July monthly employment report on Thursday at 1:30 GMT, following the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision to trim the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.6%. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) is expected to announce that the country added 25,000 new job positions in the month, after adding the measly 2,000 announced in June. The Unemployment Rate is foreseen declining to 4.2% after spiking to 4.3% in the previous month, while the Participation Rate is expected to remain unchanged at 67.1%. Australian ABS reports both full-time and...
US President Donald Trump said he would be speaking to European leaders shortly as he prepares for his summit later this week with Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin. "Will be speaking to European Leaders in a short while. They are great people who want to see a deal done," Trump wrote on social media Wednesday. The call comes as Trump ramps up diplomatic efforts to end Russia's war in Ukraine — now well into its fourth year — with a face—to-face meeting with Putin on American soil. The sitdown slated for Friday in Alaska has raised worries among Kyiv's allies that...
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said interest rates are "too constrictive" and should likely be 150-175 basis points lower. Bessent, speaking in an interview on Bloomberg Television, said the Federal Reserve could be heading into a series of rate cuts in the coming months — starting with a half-point reduction in September. "There's a very good chance of a 50 basis point rate cut," Bessent said Wednesday. "We could go into a series of rate cuts here, starting with a 50 basis point rate cut in September." Bessent added, that by any model, rates "should probably be 150,...
President Donald Trump said he is considering a lawsuit against Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell over the renovation of the central bank's headquarters, a project whose cost overruns have been investigated. In a social media post on Tuesday, Trump again criticized the Fed Chairman for the central bank's decision to keep interest rates steady and repeated his criticism of Powell over the renovation work. "The damage he's done by being late is incalculable. Fortunately, the economy is doing so well that we've moved past Powell and the complacent Board," Trump said. "However, I am...
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent gave an interview with Fox Business late Tuesday, touching on various policy topics both at home and abroad. According to Bessent, the US Supreme Court will be swayed on tariff rulings based on how much estimated government revenue they generate, that US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Xinping share a "good relationship", and that the Federal Reserve (Fed) should think about delivering a double interest rate cut on September 17. The Fed should think about a 50 basis point cut in interest rates in September.Fed could have cut in June if...
Increasing revenues flowing into U.S. government coffers from tariffs would make it difficult for the Supreme Court to rule against the Trump administration on the issue if a lower court case makes its way to country's top court, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Tuesday. The more money coming in, it gets harder and harder for SCOTUS to rule against us," Bessent said in an interview on Fox Business Network's "Kudlow." Bessent was responding to a question about a case currently in front of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Washington, D.C., which challenges...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....