Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
The Nikkei 225 index fell 0.6% to below 39,200 while the broader Topix index fell 0.4% to 2,730 on Friday, paring gains from earlier in the week and tracking losses on Wall Street overnight as a major rally in U.S. stocks lost momentum. Investors are also gearing up for the crucial U.S. monthly jobs report. In Japan, data showed that inflation-adjusted real wages were unchanged in October from a year earlier, an improvement from a 0.4% decline in September and 0.8% in August. That supported expectations for a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan this month, although...
Asia-Pacific markets open mostly lower Friday after Wall Street saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average drop more than 200 points and S&P 500 retreat from a record high. Traders in Asia assessed household spending data out of Japan. Spending grew 2.9% in October compared to the previous month, beating expectations of a 0.4% growth by economists polled by Reuters. Year-over-year, household spending fell 1.3% in October, less than an expected 2.6%. India's central bank will announce its interest rate decision Friday. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to hold its key policy rate at 6.50%...
Nominal wages in Japan rose 2.6% year-on-year in October 2024, marking the slowest growth since May, in line with market expectations. In contrast, inflation-adjusted real wages—a key measure of consumer purchasing power—held steady compared with October 2023. That was an improvement from a 0.4% decline in September and a 0.8% decline in August. The stability in real wages has strengthened expectations of an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan this month, although market sentiment remains divided over whether the next hike will come in December or January. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda...
US stocks closed lower on Thursday, retreating from records as investors tread cautiously ahead of Friday's pivotal jobs report, which could influence the Federal Reserve's December rate decision. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq slipped 0.2%, while the Dow Jones dropped 248 points. Weekly jobless claims rose to 224,000, slightly above expectations, indicating a cooling labor market. Tomorrow's nonfarm payrolls report is anticipated to show a gain of 200,000 jobs, with weaker data potentially bolstering expectations for a rate cut, currently at a 74% probability for a 25-basis-point reduction at...
Wall Street's main indexes were mostly flat on Thursday after recording all-time closing highs in the previous session, with focus on the monthly employment report due on Friday as markets mostly brushed off weekly jobless claims data. The crucial nonfarm payrolls report, scheduled for release before markets open, could be key in gauging the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory. Eric Clark, portfolio manager at the Rational Dynamic Brands Fund, said the market could get a rate cut in December but the Fed might be more cautious going forward. "They have already hinted about being...
European stocks edged higher on Thursday, with the Stoxx 50 and Stoxx 600 both up around 0.5%, extending gains from the past five sessions despite sectoral volatility. Banking and travel stocks led with over 2% gains, while oil and gas stocks dipped 0.4%. In France, markets remained steady despite political upheaval, as the CAC 40 rose 0.4% to its highest since mid-November after Prime Minister Michel Barnier's government fell to a no-confidence vote. Analysts noted no immediate risk of a government shutdown, easing investor concerns. In the UK, the Competition and Markets Authority...
Wall Street was set for a muted open on Thursday following record highs for all three main indexes in the previous session, as investors awaited upcoming employment data later this week. The S&P 500, the Nasdaq and the blue-chip Dow clocked record closing highs on Wednesday as technology shares rallied after upbeat results from companies including and Marvell Technology. U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell appeared to signal support for a slower pace of interest-rate cuts ahead when he spoke on Wednesday, saying the economy was stronger at this point than the central bank had...
Both the STOXX 50 and STOXX 600 opened flat but quickly turned positive on Thursday (5/12), with the former up 0.5% and the latter up 0.3%, as traders appeared to shrug off concerns over the political situation in France. The government collapsed as anticipated after right-wing and left-wing lawmakers united to pass a no-confidence motion and President Macron now needs to find a new Prime Minister, although the task is expected to be very challenging. French stocks were actually among the best performers, with Societe Generale (2.5%), BNP Paribas (1.9%), Engie (1.2%). Meanwhile, traders...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....