Friday, 07 November 2025
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
Dollar firms with Treasury yields as Trump's tariffs cloud US rate outlook
Wednesday, 16 July 2025 13:11 WIB | US DOLLAR |DOLLAR

The U.S. dollar drew support from elevated Treasury yields on Wednesday, which in turn kept pressure on the yen after the latest U.S. inflation report showed signs that President Donald Trump's tariffs were beginning to feed into prices.

Rising prices on goods as varied as coffee, audio equipment and home furnishings pulled the inflation rate higher in June, with substantial increases in prices of heavily imported items.

That shored up the dollar and pushed bond yields higher on Wednesday as investors pared back expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year.

Against the yen, the greenback rose to a 3-1/2-month peak of 149.19, before pulling back slightly to last trade at 148.91 yen.

The euro and sterling similarly languished near three-week lows hit in the previous session, and last bought $1.1616 and $1.3395, respectively.

The tick up in U.S. prices of core goods "could be a sign that we're starting to see some inflationary pressure from tariffs creeping in" though it is too soon to tell definitively, said Nathaniel Casey, investment strategist at Evelyn Partners.

"While this inflation report isn't especially alarming, the tick up in core goods, and the continued uncertainty around future tariff rates could still make the Federal Reserve and (Chair Jerome) Powell hesitant to want to cut rates," said Casey.

Traders are now pricing in roughly 43 basis points worth of Fed easing by December, down from just above 50 bps at the start of the week.

Focus now turns to U.S. producer price data later in the day for further clues on whether price pressures are indeed beginning to pick up.

U.S. Treasury yields rose slightly on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year yield scaling a one-month top of 4.4950%.

The two-year yield steadied at 3.9463%, having risen about 6 bps in the previous session.

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar hovered near a one-month high at 98.54.

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar edged 0.16% higher to $0.6526 after falling 0.45% on Tuesday. The New Zealand dollar rose 0.08% to $0.5950.

Also weighing on investors' minds was the prospect that Powell's eventual successor could be someone more inclined to lower interest rates, potentially fuelling price rises.

Trump has railed against Powell for months for not easing and repeatedly urged him to resign. On Tuesday, Trump said cost overruns on a $2.5 billion renovation of the Fed's Washington headquarters could amount to a firing offence.

"The additional unwanted attention on Powell has given some credence to the notion that we could see his early departure and an early nomination from Trump," said Molly Schwartz, cross-asset macro strategist at Rabobank.

In trade, Indonesia said on Wednesday it had reached a deal with the United States after an "extraordinary struggle" in negotiations which resulted in a reduction of proposed U.S. tariff rates on Indonesian goods to 19% from 32%.

Trump separately said on Tuesday that a trade agreement with Vietnam was nearly complete. He also said more deals were coming, while offering fresh details on planned duties on pharmaceuticals.

Source: Investing.com

RELATED NEWS
US Dollar Index (DXY) picks up on risk-aversion nearing the 100.00 level...
Friday, 7 November 2025 16:33 WIB

The US Dollar trims losses on Friday with investors wary of risk following another sell-off on Wall Street, as concerns of an AI bubble remain alive. The USD Index, which measures the value of the Dol...

Dollar firm as US private payrolls rebound in October...
Wednesday, 5 November 2025 23:12 WIB

The U.S. dollar edged up on Wednesday, extending its gains from last week on doubts about the outlook for another Fed rate cut this year and as private payrolls data assuaged worries over the state of...

Dollar Strengthens As Traders Raise Interest Rate Outlook, Risk Appetite Dips ...
Tuesday, 4 November 2025 17:34 WIB

The US dollar held near a three-month high on Tuesday (November 4th) as a divided Federal Reserve prompted traders to reduce their bets on a rate cut, while the Japanese yen strengthened after a verba...

Dollar Index At Three-Month High, Testing Recent Range Peak ...
Monday, 3 November 2025 17:14 WIB

The US dollar held near a three-month high on Monday (November 3rd) ahead of economic data this week that will provide only vague clues about the health of the US economy and could reinforce the Feder...

Dollar Steady, Markets Weigh Fed Signals and Trump-Xi Deal...
Friday, 31 October 2025 13:02 WIB

The US Dollar Index (DXY) held steady around 99.50 during the Asian session on Friday (October 31st). The greenback's movement was slight as market expectations for a Fed interest rate cut strengthene...

LATEST NEWS
Gold Rises on US Interest Rate Cut Hopes, Government Shutdown Concerns

Gold rose on Friday (November 7) as expectations of further interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and lingering concerns over the US economic outlook amid the prolonged government shutdown boosted demand. Spot gold rose 0.8% to $4,010.72 an...

Oil Heads for Second Weekly Loss on Persistent Oversupply Concerns

Oil prices rose on Friday (November 7th), but remained on track for a second straight weekly loss after three days of declines on oversupply concerns and slowing US demand. Brent crude rose 60 cents, or 1%, to $63.98 per barrel at 09:04 GMT. US...

US Dollar Index (DXY) picks up on risk-aversion nearing the 100.00 level

The US Dollar trims losses on Friday with investors wary of risk following another sell-off on Wall Street, as concerns of an AI bubble remain alive. The USD Index, which measures the value of the Dollar against a basket of peers, is trading at...

POPULAR NEWS
Asian Markets Dragged Down by AI Stocks
Wednesday, 5 November 2025 07:22 WIB

Asia-Pacific markets declined on Wednesday, following a decline on Wall Street, which was driven by concerns about the valuations of artificial...

US ISM Services PMI Expected to Rise Slightly in October
Wednesday, 5 November 2025 18:51 WIB

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) is scheduled to release its October Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) on Wednesday. The report, a...

November lift ahead of tariff hearing
Tuesday, 4 November 2025 23:19 WIB

World markets kicked off November in an upbeat mood, riffing off buoyant company earnings and calmer trade relations while batting away OPEC's...

US ISM Services PMI Highest since February
Wednesday, 5 November 2025 22:12 WIB

The ISM Services PMI rose to 52.4 in October 2025 from 50 in September, beating forecasts of 50.8, pointing to the strongest expansion in the...